Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jake Murray

MIN · Single-A · P · Age 26

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score26.1#5,195 Overall
Baseline28Most likely outcome
Performance37Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline28Most likely outcome
Ceiling43High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
37Developing performance profile
Miss ability13.4 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command6.8 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.71 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping49How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid45Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection48.3
Projected Range23–73
Arrival Probability2%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationMinnesota Twins
LevelSingle-A
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 28 Latest recorded 28
32 27.5 23 2026-09-02 · Median 28 2026-09-03 · Median 28 2026-09-05 · Median 28 2026-09-06 · Median 28 2026-09-09 · Median 28 2026-09-14 · Median 27.6 2026-09-15 · Median 28 2026-09-16 · Median 28 2026-09-17 · Median 28 2026-09-18 · Median 28 2026-09-19 · Median 27 2026-09-21 · Median 27 2026-09-22 · Median 27 2026-09-24 · Median 28 2026-09-25 · Median 28 2026-09-29 · Median 28 2026-09-30 · Median 28 2026-10-03 · Median 28 2026-10-04 · Median 28 2026-10-05 · Median 28 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 28

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0528
2026-10-0428
2026-10-0328
2026-09-3028
2026-09-2928
2026-09-2528
2026-09-2428
2026-09-2227
2026-09-2127
2026-09-1927
2026-09-1828
2026-09-1728
2026-09-1628
2026-09-1528
2026-09-1427.6
2026-09-0928
2026-09-0628
2026-09-0528
2026-09-0328
2026-09-0228