Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

J.D. Hennen

BAL · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#5,477
Score24.2
Baseline31
Signal-9.4
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline31
Ceiling42
Confidence41 Risk78 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

J.D. Hennen

BAL · Single-A · P

Baltimore Orioles · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#5,477
Prospect Score24.2
Median31
Performance Signal-9.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
203142
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -9.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 35 Latest recorded 31
39 33 27 2026-08-11 · Median 35 2026-08-13 · Median 35 2026-08-14 · Median 35 2026-08-16 · Median 35 2026-08-17 · Median 35 2026-08-18 · Median 35 2026-08-19 · Median 35 2026-08-20 · Median 35 2026-08-27 · Median 32 2026-08-28 · Median 32 2026-09-01 · Median 32 2026-09-02 · Median 31 2026-09-03 · Median 31 2026-09-05 · Median 31 2026-09-06 · Median 31 2026-09-09 · Median 31 2026-09-14 · Median 31.2 2026-09-15 · Median 31 2026-09-16 · Median 31 2026-09-17 · Median 31 2026-09-18 · Median 31 2026-09-19 · Median 31 2026-09-21 · Median 31 2026-09-22 · Median 31 2026-09-24 · Median 31 2026-09-25 · Median 31 2026-09-29 · Median 31 2026-09-30 · Median 31 2026-10-03 · Median 31 2026-10-04 · Median 31 2026-08-11 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 31

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0431
2026-10-0331
2026-09-3031
2026-09-2931
2026-09-2531
2026-09-2431
2026-09-2231
2026-09-2131
2026-09-1931
2026-09-1831
2026-09-1731
2026-09-1631
2026-09-1531
2026-09-1431.2
2026-09-0931
2026-09-0631
2026-09-0531
2026-09-0331
2026-09-0231
2026-09-0132
2026-08-2832
2026-08-2732
2026-08-2035
2026-08-1935
2026-08-1835
2026-08-1735
2026-08-1635
2026-08-1435
2026-08-1335
2026-08-1135

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 41
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 78
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
203142
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -9.4

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 78
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence41
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.6
Projected range15–64
Arrival probability1%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.