Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jarrod Cande

COL · AAA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#5,558
Score23.7
Baseline27
Signal-18.1
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline27
Ceiling36
Confidence51 Risk54 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jarrod Cande

COL · AAA · P

Colorado Rockies · Age at assessment: 27.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#5,558
Prospect Score23.7
Median27
Performance Signal-18.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202736
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -18.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 32 Latest recorded 27
43 32.5 22 2026-08-16 · Median 32 2026-08-17 · Median 32 2026-08-18 · Median 32 2026-08-19 · Median 32 2026-08-20 · Median 32 2026-08-22 · Median 32 2026-08-23 · Median 32.3 2026-08-25 · Median 32.3 2026-08-27 · Median 39 2026-08-28 · Median 39 2026-09-01 · Median 39 2026-09-02 · Median 39 2026-09-03 · Median 39 2026-09-05 · Median 38 2026-09-06 · Median 38 2026-09-09 · Median 27 2026-09-14 · Median 26.9 2026-09-15 · Median 27 2026-09-16 · Median 27 2026-09-17 · Median 27 2026-09-18 · Median 27 2026-09-19 · Median 27 2026-09-21 · Median 27 2026-09-22 · Median 27 2026-09-24 · Median 27 2026-09-25 · Median 27 2026-09-29 · Median 27 2026-09-30 · Median 27 2026-10-03 · Median 27 2026-10-04 · Median 27 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 27

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0427
2026-10-0327
2026-09-3027
2026-09-2927
2026-09-2527
2026-09-2427
2026-09-2227
2026-09-2127
2026-09-1927
2026-09-1827
2026-09-1727
2026-09-1627
2026-09-1527
2026-09-1426.9
2026-09-0927
2026-09-0638
2026-09-0538
2026-09-0339
2026-09-0239
2026-09-0139
2026-08-2839
2026-08-2739
2026-08-2532.3
2026-08-2332.3
2026-08-2232
2026-08-2032
2026-08-1932
2026-08-1832
2026-08-1732
2026-08-1632

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 51
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 54
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202736
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -18.1

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 54
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence51
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection37.1
Projected range12–62
Arrival probability1%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.