Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Abraham Elvira

COL · DSL · C · Age 19

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score23.4#5,659 Overall
Baseline30Most likely outcome
Performance34Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline30Most likely outcome
Ceiling41High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
34Developing performance profile
Power.056 ISOLimited current game power
Contact34.7% KContact risk
Approach19.4% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping39How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited82Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationColorado Rockies
LevelDSL
PositionC
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 32 Latest recorded 30
36 31 26 2026-09-02 · Median 32 2026-09-03 · Median 32 2026-09-05 · Median 32 2026-09-06 · Median 32 2026-09-09 · Median 32 2026-09-14 · Median 31.5 2026-09-15 · Median 32 2026-09-16 · Median 32 2026-09-17 · Median 32 2026-09-18 · Median 32 2026-09-19 · Median 32 2026-09-21 · Median 32 2026-09-22 · Median 30 2026-09-24 · Median 30 2026-09-25 · Median 30 2026-09-29 · Median 30 2026-09-30 · Median 30 2026-10-03 · Median 30 2026-10-04 · Median 30 2026-10-05 · Median 30 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 30

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0530
2026-10-0430
2026-10-0330
2026-09-3030
2026-09-2930
2026-09-2530
2026-09-2430
2026-09-2230
2026-09-2132
2026-09-1932
2026-09-1832
2026-09-1732
2026-09-1632
2026-09-1532
2026-09-1431.5
2026-09-0932
2026-09-0632
2026-09-0532
2026-09-0332
2026-09-0232