Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 7, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Nate Peterson

CIN · AA · P

Bats L · Throws L
PB Rank#5,683Overall ranking
Baseline26Uncertain outcome
Trend-26.4Falling
Confidence60Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Fixed 20–100 scale
Floor21Lower-end outcome
Baseline26Most likely outcome
Ceiling33High-end outcome

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Why He Stands Out

the derived projection is cooling.

What the Model Sees

Baseline is 26, between a 21 Floor and 33 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The range leaves room for development while keeping the central outcome in focus.

What to Watch

Track whether the recent projection decline stabilizes.

Performance

Selected evidence
30Developing performance profile
Miss ability8.2 K/9Near expected range
Command5.3 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.56 WHIPElevated traffic
Model Detail
Prospect ScoreLimited17Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskSolid45Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationCincinnati Reds
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 26 Latest recorded 26 Change 0.0
30 26 22 2026-09-15 · Median 26 2026-09-16 · Median 26 2026-09-17 · Median 26 2026-09-18 · Median 26 2026-09-19 · Median 26 2026-09-21 · Median 26 2026-09-22 · Median 26 2026-09-24 · Median 26 2026-09-25 · Median 26 2026-09-29 · Median 26 2026-09-30 · Median 26 2026-10-03 · Median 26 2026-10-04 · Median 26 2026-10-05 · Median 26 2026-10-07 · Median 26 2026-09-15 2026-10-07

2026-10-07 · Median 26

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0726
2026-10-0526
2026-10-0426
2026-10-0326
2026-09-3026
2026-09-2926
2026-09-2526
2026-09-2426
2026-09-2226
2026-09-2126
2026-09-1926
2026-09-1826
2026-09-1726
2026-09-1626
2026-09-1526