Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Ian Mejia

ATL · AA · P · Age 27

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score22.7#5,724 Overall
Baseline25Most likely outcome
Performance27Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline25Most likely outcome
Ceiling33High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
27Developing performance profile
Miss ability7.8 K/9Near expected range
Command4.7 BB/9Command risk
Contact management2.3 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid45Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.1
Projected Range13–63
Arrival Probability5%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationAtlanta Braves
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 24 Latest recorded 25 Change +1.3
31 25 19 2026-09-02 · Median 23.7 2026-09-03 · Median 23.7 2026-09-05 · Median 23.7 2026-09-06 · Median 23.7 2026-09-09 · Median 26 2026-09-14 · Median 26.2 2026-09-15 · Median 26 2026-09-16 · Median 26 2026-09-17 · Median 26 2026-09-18 · Median 26 2026-09-19 · Median 26 2026-09-21 · Median 26 2026-09-22 · Median 26 2026-09-24 · Median 26 2026-09-25 · Median 26 2026-09-29 · Median 25 2026-09-30 · Median 25 2026-10-03 · Median 25 2026-10-04 · Median 25 2026-10-05 · Median 25 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 25

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0525
2026-10-0425
2026-10-0325
2026-09-3025
2026-09-2925
2026-09-2526
2026-09-2426
2026-09-2226
2026-09-2126
2026-09-1926
2026-09-1826
2026-09-1726
2026-09-1626
2026-09-1526
2026-09-1426.2
2026-09-0926
2026-09-0623.7
2026-09-0523.7
2026-09-0323.7
2026-09-0223.7