Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Austin Vernon

TB · AAA · P · Age 28

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score21.8#5,809 Overall
Baseline31Most likely outcome
Performance56Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor23Lower-end outcome
Baseline31Most likely outcome
Ceiling45High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
56Solid current performance
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceLimited32How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited87Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationTampa Bay Rays
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 29 Latest recorded 31
36 30.5 25 2026-09-02 · Median 29 2026-09-03 · Median 29 2026-09-05 · Median 29 2026-09-06 · Median 29 2026-09-09 · Median 31 2026-09-14 · Median 31.4 2026-09-15 · Median 31 2026-09-16 · Median 31 2026-09-17 · Median 31 2026-09-18 · Median 31 2026-09-19 · Median 31 2026-09-21 · Median 31 2026-09-22 · Median 31 2026-09-24 · Median 31 2026-09-25 · Median 31 2026-09-29 · Median 31 2026-09-30 · Median 31 2026-10-03 · Median 31 2026-10-04 · Median 31 2026-10-05 · Median 31 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 31

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0531
2026-10-0431
2026-10-0331
2026-09-3031
2026-09-2931
2026-09-2531
2026-09-2431
2026-09-2231
2026-09-2131
2026-09-1931
2026-09-1831
2026-09-1731
2026-09-1631
2026-09-1531
2026-09-1431.4
2026-09-0931
2026-09-0629
2026-09-0529
2026-09-0329
2026-09-0229