Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Ryan Garcia

CIN · AA · P · Age 29

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score22.2#5,774 Overall
Baseline24Most likely outcome
Performance37Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline24Most likely outcome
Ceiling36High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
37Developing performance profile
Miss ability8.4 K/9Near expected range
Command2.6 BB/9Near expected range
Contact management2.4 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid56How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid28Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection39.7
Projected Range15–64
Arrival Probability2%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationCincinnati Reds
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 23 Latest recorded 24
29 23 17 2026-09-02 · Median 23 2026-09-03 · Median 23 2026-09-05 · Median 23 2026-09-06 · Median 23 2026-09-09 · Median 21.9 2026-09-14 · Median 24.1 2026-09-15 · Median 24 2026-09-16 · Median 24 2026-09-17 · Median 24 2026-09-18 · Median 24 2026-09-19 · Median 24 2026-09-21 · Median 24 2026-09-22 · Median 24 2026-09-24 · Median 24 2026-09-25 · Median 24 2026-09-29 · Median 24 2026-09-30 · Median 24 2026-10-03 · Median 24 2026-10-04 · Median 24 2026-10-05 · Median 24 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 24

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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2026-09-0921.9
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