Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Daison Acosta

SD · AAA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#5,769
Score22.3
Baseline24
Signal-32.2
Trend+0.5
Floor20
Baseline24
Ceiling32
Confidence57 Risk40 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Daison Acosta

SD · AAA · P

San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 28.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#5,769
Prospect Score22.3
Median24
Performance Signal-32.2
Trend+0.5

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.5
202432
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -32.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 28 Latest recorded 24
39 29 19 2026-07-21 · Median 28 2026-07-22 · Median 28 2026-07-23 · Median 35 2026-07-24 · Median 33 2026-08-20 · Median 32 2026-08-22 · Median 32 2026-08-23 · Median 32 2026-08-25 · Median 32 2026-08-27 · Median 32 2026-08-28 · Median 32 2026-09-01 · Median 32 2026-09-02 · Median 32 2026-09-03 · Median 32 2026-09-05 · Median 32 2026-09-06 · Median 32 2026-09-09 · Median 25 2026-09-14 · Median 23.9 2026-09-15 · Median 24 2026-09-16 · Median 24 2026-09-17 · Median 25 2026-09-18 · Median 25 2026-09-19 · Median 25 2026-09-21 · Median 24 2026-09-22 · Median 24 2026-09-24 · Median 24 2026-09-25 · Median 24 2026-09-29 · Median 24 2026-09-30 · Median 24 2026-10-03 · Median 24 2026-10-04 · Median 24 2026-07-21 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 24

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0424
2026-10-0324
2026-09-3024
2026-09-2924
2026-09-2524
2026-09-2424
2026-09-2224
2026-09-2124
2026-09-1925
2026-09-1825
2026-09-1725
2026-09-1624
2026-09-1524
2026-09-1423.9
2026-09-0925
2026-09-0632
2026-09-0532
2026-09-0332
2026-09-0232
2026-09-0132
2026-08-2832
2026-08-2732
2026-08-2532
2026-08-2332
2026-08-2232
2026-08-2032
2026-07-2433
2026-07-2335
2026-07-2228
2026-07-2128

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 57
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 40
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.5
202432
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -32.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 40
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence57
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.7
Projected range15–64
Arrival probability4%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.