Player Profile
Ernesto Meza
ATL · DSL · P · Age 19
Bats R · Throws RProspect Score21.5#5,828 Overall
Baseline29Most likely outcome
Performance31Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline29Most likely outcome
Ceiling39High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.
Performance
Selected evidence31Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.4 K/9Near expected range
Command7.2 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.76 WHIPElevated traffic
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleIndividual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.
Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping44How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited84Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection40.3
Projected Range16–65
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationAtlanta Braves
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 29
Latest recorded 29
2026-10-05 · Median 29
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 29 |
| 2026-10-04 | 29 |
| 2026-10-03 | 29 |
| 2026-09-30 | 29 |
| 2026-09-29 | 29 |
| 2026-09-25 | 29 |
| 2026-09-24 | 29 |
| 2026-09-22 | 29 |
| 2026-09-21 | 29 |
| 2026-09-19 | 29 |
| 2026-09-18 | 29 |
| 2026-09-17 | 29 |
| 2026-09-16 | 29 |
| 2026-09-15 | 29 |
| 2026-09-14 | 29.2 |
| 2026-09-09 | 29.2 |
| 2026-09-06 | 29 |
| 2026-09-05 | 29 |
| 2026-09-03 | 29 |
| 2026-09-02 | 29 |