Player profile
Carson Pierce
Toronto Blue Jays · Age at assessment: 25.1
Projection updated: October 4, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Risk is a meaningful drag on the composite score.
PB Rank#5,839
Prospect Score21.3
Median25
Performance Signal-16.7
Trend0.0
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range0.0
202536
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -16.7
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 29
Latest recorded 25
2026-10-04 · Median 25
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 25 |
| 2026-10-03 | 25 |
| 2026-09-30 | 25 |
| 2026-09-29 | 25 |
| 2026-09-25 | 25 |
| 2026-09-24 | 25 |
| 2026-09-22 | 25 |
| 2026-09-21 | 25 |
| 2026-09-19 | 25 |
| 2026-09-18 | 25 |
| 2026-09-17 | 25 |
| 2026-09-16 | 25 |
| 2026-09-15 | 25 |
| 2026-09-14 | 25.3 |
| 2026-09-09 | 25.3 |
| 2026-09-06 | 29 |
| 2026-09-05 | 29 |
| 2026-09-03 | 29 |
| 2026-09-02 | 29 |
| 2026-09-01 | 29 |
| 2026-08-28 | 29.5 |
| 2026-08-27 | 29.5 |
| 2026-08-25 | 29.5 |
| 2026-08-23 | 29.5 |
| 2026-08-22 | 29 |
| 2026-08-20 | 29 |
| 2026-08-19 | 29 |
| 2026-08-18 | 29 |
| 2026-08-17 | 29 |
| 2026-08-16 | 29 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Stable
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
48
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
68
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.