Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Kobe Minchey

PHI · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#5,846
Score21.2
Baseline29
Signal-2.8
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline29
Ceiling39
Confidence29 Risk82 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Kobe Minchey

PHI · Single-A · P

Philadelphia Phillies · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#5,846
Prospect Score21.2
Median29
Performance Signal-2.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202939
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 29 Latest recorded 29
34 24.5 15 2026-08-20 · Median 29 2026-08-22 · Median 29 2026-08-23 · Median 29.3 2026-08-25 · Median 29.3 2026-08-27 · Median 29 2026-08-28 · Median 29 2026-09-01 · Median 19.4 2026-09-02 · Median 19.4 2026-09-03 · Median 19.4 2026-09-05 · Median 19.4 2026-09-06 · Median 19.4 2026-09-09 · Median 29.8 2026-09-14 · Median 29.8 2026-09-15 · Median 30 2026-09-16 · Median 30 2026-09-17 · Median 30 2026-09-18 · Median 30 2026-09-19 · Median 30 2026-09-21 · Median 30 2026-09-22 · Median 30 2026-09-24 · Median 30 2026-09-25 · Median 30 2026-09-29 · Median 30 2026-09-30 · Median 29 2026-10-03 · Median 29 2026-10-04 · Median 29 2026-08-20 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 29

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0429
2026-10-0329
2026-09-3029
2026-09-2930
2026-09-2530
2026-09-2430
2026-09-2230
2026-09-2130
2026-09-1930
2026-09-1830
2026-09-1730
2026-09-1630
2026-09-1530
2026-09-1429.8
2026-09-0929.8
2026-09-0619.4
2026-09-0519.4
2026-09-0319.4
2026-09-0219.4
2026-09-0119.4
2026-08-2829
2026-08-2729
2026-08-2529.3
2026-08-2329.3
2026-08-2229
2026-08-2029

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 29
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 82
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202939
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.8

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 82
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence29
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.