Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 7, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Connor Spencer

CHC · High-A · P

Bats R · Throws R
PB Rank#5,927Overall ranking
Baseline27Uncertain outcome
Trend-1.0Falling
Confidence31Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Fixed 20–100 scale
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline27Most likely outcome
Ceiling38High-end outcome

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Why He Stands Out

No single approved signal dominates; the evaluation combines available scouting, performance, developmental, and model evidence.

What the Model Sees

Baseline is 27, between a 20 Floor and 38 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The range leaves room for development while keeping the central outcome in focus.

What to Watch

Track elevated model Risk (80) and limited model Confidence (31).

Performance

Selected evidence
44Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Model Detail
Prospect ScoreLimited20Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskLimited80Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationChicago Cubs
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 27 Latest recorded 27 Change +0.2
31 26.5 22 2026-09-15 · Median 26.8 2026-09-16 · Median 27 2026-09-17 · Median 27 2026-09-18 · Median 27 2026-09-19 · Median 27 2026-09-21 · Median 27 2026-09-22 · Median 27 2026-09-24 · Median 27 2026-09-25 · Median 27 2026-09-29 · Median 27 2026-09-30 · Median 27 2026-10-03 · Median 27 2026-10-04 · Median 27 2026-10-05 · Median 27 2026-10-07 · Median 27 2026-09-15 2026-10-07

2026-10-07 · Median 27

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0727
2026-10-0527
2026-10-0427
2026-10-0327
2026-09-3027
2026-09-2927
2026-09-2527
2026-09-2427
2026-09-2227
2026-09-2127
2026-09-1927
2026-09-1827
2026-09-1727
2026-09-1627
2026-09-1526.8