Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Kenny Serwa

DET · AA · P · Age 29

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score18.7#6,047 Overall
Baseline19Most likely outcome
Performance35Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline19Most likely outcome
Ceiling27High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
35Developing performance profile
Miss ability6.6 K/9Limited miss signal
Dominance5.6% K-BBNarrow strikeout-to-walk margin
Contact management0.7 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid29Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection36.8
Projected Range14–60
Arrival Probability19%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationDetroit Tigers
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 19 Latest recorded 19 Change 0.0
25 20 15 2026-09-02 · Median 19 2026-09-03 · Median 19 2026-09-05 · Median 19 2026-09-06 · Median 19 2026-09-09 · Median 20.3 2026-09-14 · Median 19.3 2026-09-15 · Median 19.3 2026-09-16 · Median 19 2026-09-17 · Median 19 2026-09-18 · Median 19 2026-09-19 · Median 19 2026-09-21 · Median 19 2026-09-22 · Median 19 2026-09-24 · Median 19 2026-09-25 · Median 19 2026-09-29 · Median 19 2026-09-30 · Median 19 2026-10-03 · Median 19 2026-10-04 · Median 19 2026-10-05 · Median 19 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 19

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0519
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