Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Sean Boyle

SD · AAA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#6,051
Score18.6
Baseline20
Signal-29.1
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline20
Ceiling28
Confidence60 Risk32 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Sean Boyle

SD · AAA · P

San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 29.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#6,051
Prospect Score18.6
Median20
Performance Signal-29.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202028
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -29.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 23 Latest recorded 20
27 20.5 14 2026-07-21 · Median 23 2026-07-22 · Median 23 2026-07-23 · Median 23 2026-07-24 · Median 22 2026-08-20 · Median 19 2026-08-22 · Median 19 2026-08-23 · Median 19.4 2026-08-25 · Median 19.4 2026-08-27 · Median 19 2026-08-28 · Median 19 2026-09-01 · Median 19.1 2026-09-02 · Median 19.1 2026-09-03 · Median 19.1 2026-09-05 · Median 18.8 2026-09-06 · Median 18.8 2026-09-09 · Median 19.4 2026-09-14 · Median 19.4 2026-09-15 · Median 19.4 2026-09-16 · Median 19 2026-09-17 · Median 19 2026-09-18 · Median 19 2026-09-19 · Median 19 2026-09-21 · Median 20 2026-09-22 · Median 20 2026-09-24 · Median 20 2026-09-25 · Median 20 2026-09-29 · Median 20 2026-09-30 · Median 20 2026-10-03 · Median 20 2026-10-04 · Median 20 2026-07-21 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 20

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0420
2026-10-0320
2026-09-3020
2026-09-2920
2026-09-2520
2026-09-2420
2026-09-2220
2026-09-2120
2026-09-1919
2026-09-1819
2026-09-1719
2026-09-1619
2026-09-1519.4
2026-09-1419.4
2026-09-0919.4
2026-09-0618.8
2026-09-0518.8
2026-09-0319.1
2026-09-0219.1
2026-09-0119.1
2026-08-2819
2026-08-2719
2026-08-2519.4
2026-08-2319.4
2026-08-2219
2026-08-2019
2026-07-2422
2026-07-2323
2026-07-2223
2026-07-2123

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 32
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202028
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -29.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 32
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection38.0
Projected range15–61
Arrival probability14%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.