Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Carlos Guerrero

MIA · DSL · P · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score16.9#6,156 Overall
Baseline25Most likely outcome
Performance34Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline25Most likely outcome
Ceiling36High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
34Developing performance profile
Miss ability6.0 K/9Limited miss signal
Dominance3.1% K-BBNarrow strikeout-to-walk margin
Contact management0.0 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping37How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited97Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationMiami Marlins
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 25 Latest recorded 25 Change -0.2
30 25.5 21 2026-09-02 · Median 25.2 2026-09-03 · Median 25.2 2026-09-05 · Median 25.2 2026-09-06 · Median 25.2 2026-09-09 · Median 25.6 2026-09-14 · Median 25.6 2026-09-15 · Median 25.6 2026-09-16 · Median 26 2026-09-17 · Median 26 2026-09-18 · Median 26 2026-09-19 · Median 26 2026-09-21 · Median 26 2026-09-22 · Median 26 2026-09-24 · Median 26 2026-09-25 · Median 26 2026-09-29 · Median 26 2026-09-30 · Median 26 2026-10-03 · Median 26 2026-10-04 · Median 25 2026-10-05 · Median 25 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 25

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0525
2026-10-0425
2026-10-0326
2026-09-3026
2026-09-2926
2026-09-2526
2026-09-2426
2026-09-2226
2026-09-2126
2026-09-1926
2026-09-1826
2026-09-1726
2026-09-1626
2026-09-1525.6
2026-09-1425.6
2026-09-0925.6
2026-09-0625.2
2026-09-0525.2
2026-09-0325.2
2026-09-0225.2