Player Profile
Ariel Lebron
HOU · FCL · OF · Age 21
Bats R · Throws RProspect Score17.2#6,141 Overall
Baseline26Most likely outcome
Performance33Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline26Most likely outcome
Ceiling37High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.
Performance
Selected evidence33Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile
No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleIndividual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.
Model Detail
ConfidenceLimited23How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited90Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelFCL
PositionOF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 26
Latest recorded 26
Change +0.1
2026-10-05 · Median 26
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 26 |
| 2026-10-04 | 26 |
| 2026-10-03 | 26 |
| 2026-09-30 | 26 |
| 2026-09-29 | 26 |
| 2026-09-25 | 26 |
| 2026-09-24 | 26 |
| 2026-09-22 | 27 |
| 2026-09-21 | 27 |
| 2026-09-19 | 27 |
| 2026-09-18 | 27 |
| 2026-09-17 | 27 |
| 2026-09-16 | 27 |
| 2026-09-15 | 26.5 |
| 2026-09-14 | 26.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | 26.5 |
| 2026-09-06 | 25.9 |
| 2026-09-05 | 25.9 |
| 2026-09-03 | 25.9 |
| 2026-09-02 | 25.9 |