Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 7, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Varis Villarreal

NYY · DSL · P

Bats R · Throws R
PB Rank#6,189Overall ranking
Baseline24Uncertain outcome
Trend+36.4Rising
Confidence36Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Fixed 20–100 scale
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline24Most likely outcome
Ceiling37High-end outcome

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Why He Stands Out

the derived projection is rising.

What the Model Sees

Baseline is 24, between a 20 Floor and 37 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The range leaves room for development while keeping the central outcome in focus.

What to Watch

Track elevated model Risk (78) and limited model Confidence (36).

Performance

Selected evidence
24Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.4 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command6.2 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.85 WHIPElevated traffic
Model Detail
Prospect ScoreLimited22Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskLimited79Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Yankees
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 25 Latest recorded 24 Change -0.6
29 24.5 20 2026-09-15 · Median 24.6 2026-09-16 · Median 25 2026-09-17 · Median 25 2026-09-18 · Median 25 2026-09-19 · Median 25 2026-09-21 · Median 25 2026-09-22 · Median 25 2026-09-24 · Median 25 2026-09-25 · Median 25 2026-09-29 · Median 25 2026-09-30 · Median 25 2026-10-03 · Median 25 2026-10-04 · Median 24 2026-10-05 · Median 24 2026-10-07 · Median 24 2026-09-15 2026-10-07

2026-10-07 · Median 24

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0724
2026-10-0524
2026-10-0424
2026-10-0325
2026-09-3025
2026-09-2925
2026-09-2525
2026-09-2425
2026-09-2225
2026-09-2125
2026-09-1925
2026-09-1825
2026-09-1725
2026-09-1625
2026-09-1524.6