Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jesus Valdez

ARI · AAA · 3B · Age 29

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score16.6#6,174 Overall
Baseline19Most likely outcome
Performance31Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline19Most likely outcome
Ceiling27High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
31Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.558 OPSLimited current offensive impact
Contact23.7% KNear expected range
On-base foundation.305 OBPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping54How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid33Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection30.7
Projected Range14–48
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationArizona Diamondbacks
LevelAAA
Position3B
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 16 Latest recorded 19 Change +3.0
24 18 12 2026-09-02 · Median 16 2026-09-03 · Median 16 2026-09-05 · Median 16 2026-09-06 · Median 16 2026-09-09 · Median 18.1 2026-09-14 · Median 17.8 2026-09-15 · Median 19.1 2026-09-16 · Median 19 2026-09-17 · Median 19 2026-09-18 · Median 19 2026-09-19 · Median 19 2026-09-21 · Median 19 2026-09-22 · Median 19 2026-09-24 · Median 19 2026-09-25 · Median 19 2026-09-29 · Median 19 2026-09-30 · Median 19 2026-10-03 · Median 19 2026-10-04 · Median 19 2026-10-05 · Median 19 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 19

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0519
2026-10-0419
2026-10-0319
2026-09-3019
2026-09-2919
2026-09-2519
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2026-09-1719
2026-09-1619
2026-09-1519.1
2026-09-1417.8
2026-09-0918.1
2026-09-0616
2026-09-0516
2026-09-0316
2026-09-0216