Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Dennisom Carrera

HOU · DSL · P · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score16.6#6,180 Overall
Baseline25Most likely outcome
Performance28Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline25Most likely outcome
Ceiling35High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
28Developing performance profile
Miss ability5.9 K/9Limited miss signal
Command7.6 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.80 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping37How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited85Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 25 Latest recorded 25 Change +0.1
29 24.5 20 2026-09-02 · Median 24.9 2026-09-03 · Median 24.9 2026-09-05 · Median 24.9 2026-09-06 · Median 24.9 2026-09-09 · Median 24.9 2026-09-14 · Median 24.9 2026-09-15 · Median 24.9 2026-09-16 · Median 25 2026-09-17 · Median 25 2026-09-18 · Median 25 2026-09-19 · Median 25 2026-09-21 · Median 25 2026-09-22 · Median 25 2026-09-24 · Median 25 2026-09-25 · Median 25 2026-09-29 · Median 25 2026-09-30 · Median 25 2026-10-03 · Median 25 2026-10-04 · Median 25 2026-10-05 · Median 25 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 25

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0525
2026-10-0425
2026-10-0325
2026-09-3025
2026-09-2925
2026-09-2525
2026-09-2425
2026-09-2225
2026-09-2125
2026-09-1925
2026-09-1825
2026-09-1725
2026-09-1625
2026-09-1524.9
2026-09-1424.9
2026-09-0924.9
2026-09-0624.9
2026-09-0524.9
2026-09-0324.9
2026-09-0224.9