Player profile
Zach Fogell
Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 26.2 · Bats: L · Throws: L
Projection updated: October 4, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.
PB Rank#6,211
Prospect Score16.0
Median22
Performance Signal0.0
Trend0.0
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range0.0
202234
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 22
Latest recorded 22
Change 0.0
2026-10-04 · Median 22
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 22 |
| 2026-10-03 | 22 |
| 2026-09-30 | 22 |
| 2026-09-29 | 22 |
| 2026-09-25 | 22 |
| 2026-09-24 | 22 |
| 2026-09-22 | 22 |
| 2026-09-21 | 22 |
| 2026-09-19 | 22 |
| 2026-09-18 | 22 |
| 2026-09-17 | 22 |
| 2026-09-16 | 22 |
| 2026-09-15 | 22.4 |
| 2026-09-14 | 22.4 |
| 2026-09-09 | 22.4 |
| 2026-09-06 | 22 |
| 2026-09-05 | 22 |
| 2026-09-03 | 22 |
| 2026-09-02 | 22 |
| 2026-09-01 | 22 |
| 2026-08-28 | 22 |
| 2026-08-27 | 22 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Stable
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
31
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
80
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.