Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Gian Zapata

ARI · ACL · P · Age 21

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score15.5#6,237 Overall
Baseline29Most likely outcome
Performance34Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline29Most likely outcome
Ceiling44High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
34Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceLimited21How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited100Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationArizona Diamondbacks
LevelACL
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 30 Latest recorded 29 Change -0.7
34 29.5 25 2026-09-02 · Median 29.7 2026-09-03 · Median 29.7 2026-09-05 · Median 29.7 2026-09-06 · Median 29.7 2026-09-09 · Median 29.8 2026-09-14 · Median 29.8 2026-09-15 · Median 29.8 2026-09-16 · Median 30 2026-09-17 · Median 30 2026-09-18 · Median 30 2026-09-19 · Median 30 2026-09-21 · Median 30 2026-09-22 · Median 30 2026-09-24 · Median 30 2026-09-25 · Median 30 2026-09-29 · Median 30 2026-09-30 · Median 30 2026-10-03 · Median 30 2026-10-04 · Median 29 2026-10-05 · Median 29 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 29

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0529
2026-10-0429
2026-10-0330
2026-09-3030
2026-09-2930
2026-09-2530
2026-09-2430
2026-09-2230
2026-09-2130
2026-09-1930
2026-09-1830
2026-09-1730
2026-09-1630
2026-09-1529.8
2026-09-1429.8
2026-09-0929.8
2026-09-0629.7
2026-09-0529.7
2026-09-0329.7
2026-09-0229.7