Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 7, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Dilan Fernandez

SF · ACL · P

Bats R · Throws R
PB Rank#6,267Overall ranking
Baseline25Uncertain outcome
Trend+68.5Rising
Confidence23Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Fixed 20–100 scale
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline25Most likely outcome
Ceiling36High-end outcome

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Why He Stands Out

the derived projection is rising.

What the Model Sees

Baseline is 25, between a 20 Floor and 36 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The range leaves room for development while keeping the central outcome in focus.

What to Watch

Track elevated model Risk (100) and limited model Confidence (23).

Performance

Selected evidence
34Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Model Detail
Prospect ScoreLimited25Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskLimited100Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationSan Francisco Giants
LevelACL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 26 Latest recorded 25 Change -0.5
30 25.5 21 2026-09-15 · Median 25.5 2026-09-16 · Median 25 2026-09-17 · Median 25 2026-09-18 · Median 25 2026-09-19 · Median 25 2026-09-21 · Median 25 2026-09-22 · Median 25 2026-09-24 · Median 25 2026-09-25 · Median 25 2026-09-29 · Median 25 2026-09-30 · Median 25 2026-10-03 · Median 25 2026-10-04 · Median 25 2026-10-05 · Median 25 2026-10-07 · Median 25 2026-09-15 2026-10-07

2026-10-07 · Median 25

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0725
2026-10-0525
2026-10-0425
2026-10-0325
2026-09-3025
2026-09-2925
2026-09-2525
2026-09-2425
2026-09-2225
2026-09-2125
2026-09-1925
2026-09-1825
2026-09-1725
2026-09-1625
2026-09-1525.5