Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Rainiel Duran

SF · DSL · P · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score14.0#6,304 Overall
Baseline21Most likely outcome
Performance22Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline21Most likely outcome
Ceiling31High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
22Developing performance profile
Miss ability6.8 K/9Limited miss signal
Command7.2 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.71 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping43How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited78Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.3
Projected Range13–63
Arrival Probability0%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Francisco Giants
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 21 Latest recorded 21 Change 0.0
26 21.5 17 2026-09-02 · Median 21 2026-09-03 · Median 21 2026-09-05 · Median 21 2026-09-06 · Median 21 2026-09-09 · Median 21.1 2026-09-14 · Median 21.1 2026-09-15 · Median 21.1 2026-09-16 · Median 21 2026-09-17 · Median 21 2026-09-18 · Median 21 2026-09-19 · Median 21 2026-09-21 · Median 21 2026-09-22 · Median 21 2026-09-24 · Median 21 2026-09-25 · Median 21 2026-09-29 · Median 21 2026-09-30 · Median 21 2026-10-03 · Median 21 2026-10-04 · Median 21 2026-10-05 · Median 21 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 21

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0521
2026-10-0421
2026-10-0321
2026-09-3021
2026-09-2921
2026-09-2521
2026-09-2421
2026-09-2221
2026-09-2121
2026-09-1921
2026-09-1821
2026-09-1721
2026-09-1621
2026-09-1521.1
2026-09-1421.1
2026-09-0921.1
2026-09-0621
2026-09-0521
2026-09-0321
2026-09-0221