Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jose Meza

SF · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#6,371
Score12.2
Baseline25
Signal-5.7
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline25
Ceiling39
Confidence23 Risk100 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Jose Meza

SF · DSL · P

San Francisco Giants · Age at assessment: 20.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#6,371
Prospect Score12.2
Median25
Performance Signal-5.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202539
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 26 Latest recorded 25
30 25 20 2026-08-11 · Median 26 2026-08-13 · Median 26 2026-08-14 · Median 26 2026-08-16 · Median 26 2026-08-17 · Median 26 2026-08-18 · Median 26 2026-08-19 · Median 26 2026-08-20 · Median 25.5 2026-08-27 · Median 24.4 2026-08-28 · Median 24.4 2026-09-01 · Median 24.1 2026-09-02 · Median 24.1 2026-09-03 · Median 24.1 2026-09-05 · Median 24.1 2026-09-06 · Median 24.1 2026-09-09 · Median 24.4 2026-09-14 · Median 24.4 2026-09-15 · Median 24.4 2026-09-16 · Median 24 2026-09-17 · Median 24 2026-09-18 · Median 24 2026-09-19 · Median 24 2026-09-21 · Median 24 2026-09-22 · Median 24 2026-09-24 · Median 24 2026-09-25 · Median 24 2026-09-29 · Median 24 2026-09-30 · Median 25 2026-10-03 · Median 25 2026-10-04 · Median 25 2026-08-11 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 25

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0425
2026-10-0325
2026-09-3025
2026-09-2924
2026-09-2524
2026-09-2424
2026-09-2224
2026-09-2124
2026-09-1924
2026-09-1824
2026-09-1724
2026-09-1624
2026-09-1524.4
2026-09-1424.4
2026-09-0924.4
2026-09-0624.1
2026-09-0524.1
2026-09-0324.1
2026-09-0224.1
2026-09-0124.1
2026-08-2824.4
2026-08-2724.4
2026-08-2025.5
2026-08-1926
2026-08-1826
2026-08-1726
2026-08-1626
2026-08-1426
2026-08-1326
2026-08-1126

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 23
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 100
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202539
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.7

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 100
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence23
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.