Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Ryan Watson

TOR · AA · P · Age 27

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score11.8#6,382 Overall
Baseline19Most likely outcome
Performance46Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline19Most likely outcome
Ceiling31High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
46Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceLimited33How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited84Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationToronto Blue Jays
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 18 Latest recorded 19 Change +0.7
23 18.5 14 2026-09-02 · Median 18.3 2026-09-03 · Median 18.3 2026-09-05 · Median 18.3 2026-09-06 · Median 18.3 2026-09-09 · Median 18.6 2026-09-14 · Median 18.6 2026-09-15 · Median 18.6 2026-09-16 · Median 19 2026-09-17 · Median 19 2026-09-18 · Median 19 2026-09-19 · Median 19 2026-09-21 · Median 19 2026-09-22 · Median 19 2026-09-24 · Median 19 2026-09-25 · Median 19 2026-09-29 · Median 19 2026-09-30 · Median 19 2026-10-03 · Median 19 2026-10-04 · Median 19 2026-10-05 · Median 19 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 19

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0519
2026-10-0419
2026-10-0319
2026-09-3019
2026-09-2919
2026-09-2519
2026-09-2419
2026-09-2219
2026-09-2119
2026-09-1919
2026-09-1819
2026-09-1719
2026-09-1619
2026-09-1518.6
2026-09-1418.6
2026-09-0918.6
2026-09-0618.3
2026-09-0518.3
2026-09-0318.3
2026-09-0218.3