Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jimmy Joyce

SEA · AA · P · Age 28

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score11.1#6,404 Overall
Baseline18Most likely outcome
Performance46Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline18Most likely outcome
Ceiling30High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
46Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceLimited33How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited85Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationSeattle Mariners
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 18 Latest recorded 18 Change +0.4
22 17.5 13 2026-09-02 · Median 17.6 2026-09-03 · Median 17.6 2026-09-05 · Median 17.6 2026-09-06 · Median 17.6 2026-09-09 · Median 17.7 2026-09-14 · Median 17.7 2026-09-15 · Median 17.7 2026-09-16 · Median 18 2026-09-17 · Median 18 2026-09-18 · Median 18 2026-09-19 · Median 18 2026-09-21 · Median 18 2026-09-22 · Median 18 2026-09-24 · Median 18 2026-09-25 · Median 18 2026-09-29 · Median 18 2026-09-30 · Median 18 2026-10-03 · Median 18 2026-10-04 · Median 18 2026-10-05 · Median 18 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 18

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0518
2026-10-0418
2026-10-0318
2026-09-3018
2026-09-2918
2026-09-2518
2026-09-2418
2026-09-2218
2026-09-2118
2026-09-1918
2026-09-1818
2026-09-1718
2026-09-1618
2026-09-1517.7
2026-09-1417.7
2026-09-0917.7
2026-09-0617.6
2026-09-0517.6
2026-09-0317.6
2026-09-0217.6