Player Profile
Jackson Smeltz
SD · AA · P · Age 28
Bats L · Throws LProspect Score9.6#6,450 Overall
Baseline16Most likely outcome
Performance46Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline16Most likely outcome
Ceiling29High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.
Performance
Selected evidence46Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile
No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleIndividual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.
Model Detail
ConfidenceLimited33How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited87Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationSan Diego Padres
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 16
Latest recorded 16
Change -0.3
2026-10-05 · Median 16
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 16 |
| 2026-10-04 | 16 |
| 2026-10-03 | 17 |
| 2026-09-30 | 17 |
| 2026-09-29 | 17 |
| 2026-09-25 | 17 |
| 2026-09-24 | 17 |
| 2026-09-22 | 17 |
| 2026-09-21 | 17 |
| 2026-09-19 | 17 |
| 2026-09-18 | 17 |
| 2026-09-17 | 17 |
| 2026-09-16 | 17 |
| 2026-09-15 | 16.8 |
| 2026-09-14 | 16.8 |
| 2026-09-09 | 16.8 |
| 2026-09-06 | 16.3 |
| 2026-09-05 | 16.3 |
| 2026-09-03 | 16.3 |
| 2026-09-02 | 16.3 |