Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Sayer Diederich

BAL · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#6,448
Score9.7
Baseline20
Signal-4.7
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline20
Ceiling30
Confidence25 Risk97 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Sayer Diederich

BAL · High-A · P

Baltimore Orioles · Age at assessment: 26.0 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#6,448
Prospect Score9.7
Median20
Performance Signal-4.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202030
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 25 Latest recorded 20
30 23 16 2026-08-16 · Median 25 2026-08-17 · Median 24 2026-08-18 · Median 24 2026-08-19 · Median 24 2026-08-20 · Median 24 2026-08-22 · Median 24 2026-08-23 · Median 24.2 2026-08-25 · Median 24.2 2026-08-27 · Median 24.2 2026-08-28 · Median 24.2 2026-09-01 · Median 24.2 2026-09-02 · Median 24.2 2026-09-03 · Median 24.2 2026-09-05 · Median 24.2 2026-09-06 · Median 24.2 2026-09-09 · Median 25.4 2026-09-14 · Median 25.4 2026-09-15 · Median 25.4 2026-09-16 · Median 25 2026-09-17 · Median 25 2026-09-18 · Median 25 2026-09-19 · Median 25 2026-09-21 · Median 25 2026-09-22 · Median 25 2026-09-24 · Median 20 2026-09-25 · Median 20 2026-09-29 · Median 20 2026-09-30 · Median 20 2026-10-03 · Median 20 2026-10-04 · Median 20 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 20

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0420
2026-10-0320
2026-09-3020
2026-09-2920
2026-09-2520
2026-09-2420
2026-09-2225
2026-09-2125
2026-09-1925
2026-09-1825
2026-09-1725
2026-09-1625
2026-09-1525.4
2026-09-1425.4
2026-09-0925.4
2026-09-0624.2
2026-09-0524.2
2026-09-0324.2
2026-09-0224.2
2026-09-0124.2
2026-08-2824.2
2026-08-2724.2
2026-08-2524.2
2026-08-2324.2
2026-08-2224
2026-08-2024
2026-08-1924
2026-08-1824
2026-08-1724
2026-08-1625

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 25
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 97
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202030
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.7

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 97
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence25
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.