Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Bryce Conley

NYM · AA · P · Age 32

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score5.8#6,482 Overall
Baseline10Most likely outcome
Performance37Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline10Most likely outcome
Ceiling25High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
37Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.3 K/9Near expected range
Command4.2 BB/9Near expected range
Contact management1.5 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping54How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping47Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection39.9
Projected Range17–63
Arrival Probability17%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Mets
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 7 Latest recorded 10 Change +2.7
15 9 3 2026-09-02 · Median 7.3 2026-09-03 · Median 7.3 2026-09-05 · Median 7.3 2026-09-06 · Median 7.3 2026-09-09 · Median 10 2026-09-14 · Median 10.2 2026-09-15 · Median 10.2 2026-09-16 · Median 10 2026-09-17 · Median 10 2026-09-18 · Median 10 2026-09-19 · Median 10 2026-09-21 · Median 10 2026-09-22 · Median 10 2026-09-24 · Median 10 2026-09-25 · Median 10 2026-09-29 · Median 10 2026-09-30 · Median 10 2026-10-03 · Median 10 2026-10-04 · Median 10 2026-10-05 · Median 10 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 10

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0510
2026-10-0410
2026-10-0310
2026-09-3010
2026-09-2910
2026-09-2510
2026-09-2410
2026-09-2210
2026-09-2110
2026-09-1910
2026-09-1810
2026-09-1710
2026-09-1610
2026-09-1510.2
2026-09-1410.2
2026-09-0910
2026-09-067.3
2026-09-057.3
2026-09-037.3
2026-09-027.3