Prospect Baseline Profile

Gerson Garabito

MIL · AAA · P

Prospect Baseline Rank #2,988

Player Assessment

Current model read

No single approved signal dominates; the evaluation combines available scouting, performance, developmental, and model evidence.

Prospect Score & Development

41/100

Developing composite evaluation

Baseline

42/100

Central modeled outcome; separate from Prospect Score.

Confidence

74/100

Moderate confidence

Evidence strength, separate from model risk.

Performance context

Model-derived assessment

44/100

Developing production

K/9

Miss ability8.1 K/9Near expected range

K-BB%

Dominance11.3% K-BBBalanced strikeout-to-walk signal

HR/9

Contact management0.7 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scouting scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Supporting Evidence and What to Watch

Current model assessment

Supporting Evidence

Baseline is 42, between a 41 Floor and 45 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The narrow range reflects a more contained model outlook.

What to Watch

Track the next performance update and level assignment.

Model factors and risk context

Model Risk Index10

Age to level24

Track record50

Data quality72

Risk, age-to-level, track record and data quality are separate model fields. A missing value is not zero.

Projected Outcome Range

Floor 41Baseline 42Ceiling 45

These are modeled outcome bands on the Prospect Baseline 0–100 scale, not guaranteed MLB outcomes.

Forecast

Statistical projections

No statistical forecast is published for this player. The current profile data does not include a documented rate forecast method, target population, or validation results.

Development Trajectory

Recorded Baseline assessments

Latest recorded Baseline: 42 on 2026-10-12 · Current Floor 41, Baseline 42, Ceiling 45

Recorded history Current Floor–Ceiling range

The chart connects recorded points only within the same model version and starts a new segment across gaps longer than 120 days. Routine point markers are suppressed; changes of 8 or more Baseline points are marked. The vertical whisker shows the current range and Baseline.

View recorded values

Date	Baseline	Model version
2026-10-12	42	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-09	42	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-08	42	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-06-29	13	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-28	13	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-26	13	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-25	13	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-24	14	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-23	14	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-22	14	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-21	14	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-20	14	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-19	14	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-18	14	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-17	14	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-16	14	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-15	14	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-14	14	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-13	14	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-12	14	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-11	14	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-10	0	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-09	0	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-08	0	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-07	16	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-06	16	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-05	16	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-04	16	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4

Development Outlook

Upside and risk

↑ Upside

The current Ceiling of 45 is 3 points above the Baseline. This is an outcome range, not a timed forecast.

⚑ Risk Factors

Model Risk Index: 10/100. This is a model measure, not a statement of real-world risk. Model confidence is 74/100 and is measured separately. Data quality and developmental uncertainty are also distinct.

Verified league roster listing

The player appears in the season-scoped roster snapshot shown below. Prospect Baseline scores remain overall model evaluations.

Dominican Winter League · 2026–27

Verified roster listing: Aguilas Cibaenas · Snapshot date: 2026-10-09

Prospect Score: 40.9 · Baseline: 42.0

View league model rankings