Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Johan Geraldo

CHC · DSL · IF

Chicago Cubs · Age at assessment: 17.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Tools Ahead of Results
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact translation concern

The verified hit tool is not matching the current contact results. Strikeout rate is the first metric to monitor

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#1,270
Prospect Score54
Median55
Performance40
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 50; contact evidence sits near the 35th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 26.3%

What could change the read

  • A 0.363 OBP is keeping the offensive foundation intact

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact-15.2 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 35
Game Power-6.2 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 52

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 43 Latest recorded 55
59 49 39 2026-06-04 · Median 43 2026-06-05 · Median 43 2026-06-06 · Median 43 2026-06-07 · Median 43 2026-06-08 · Median 43 2026-06-09 · Median 43 2026-06-10 · Median 43 2026-06-11 · Median 48 2026-06-12 · Median 47 2026-06-13 · Median 47 2026-06-14 · Median 46 2026-06-15 · Median 46 2026-06-16 · Median 46 2026-06-17 · Median 51 2026-06-18 · Median 51 2026-06-19 · Median 51 2026-06-20 · Median 49 2026-06-21 · Median 48 2026-06-22 · Median 48 2026-06-23 · Median 48 2026-06-24 · Median 47 2026-06-25 · Median 47 2026-06-26 · Median 47 2026-06-28 · Median 48 2026-06-29 · Median 48 2026-06-30 · Median 48 2026-07-01 · Median 47 2026-07-03 · Median 49 2026-07-05 · Median 48 2026-07-07 · Median 47 2026-07-09 · Median 47 2026-07-11 · Median 48 2026-07-12 · Median 47 2026-07-14 · Median 47 2026-07-16 · Median 47 2026-07-21 · Median 47 2026-07-22 · Median 47 2026-07-23 · Median 46 2026-07-24 · Median 45 2026-07-25 · Median 45 2026-07-26 · Median 45 2026-07-27 · Median 46 2026-07-28 · Median 46 2026-07-29 · Median 46 2026-07-30 · Median 46 2026-07-31 · Median 46 2026-08-01 · Median 46 2026-08-03 · Median 45 2026-08-05 · Median 45 2026-08-07 · Median 44 2026-08-08 · Median 44 2026-08-09 · Median 45 2026-08-10 · Median 45 2026-08-11 · Median 45 2026-08-13 · Median 45 2026-08-14 · Median 45 2026-08-16 · Median 45 2026-08-17 · Median 45 2026-08-18 · Median 45 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 45 2026-08-22 · Median 45 2026-08-23 · Median 45 2026-08-25 · Median 45 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 54.6 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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Metrics to follow

K% 26.3%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 7.9%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.363

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G50
PA190
AVG.258
OBP.363
SLG.368
OPS.731
HR1
SB20
BB%7.9%
K%26.3%

DSL Cubs Red · DSL · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
485561
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 40

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence85
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production32.0
Historical 80% error band14–50
MLB arrival in 3 years3%
Productive MLB role in 3 years0%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit50Avg
Power icon
Power55Avg
Speed icon
Speed50Avg
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm60Above Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026DSL Cubs RedDSL50190163354293115155020.258.363.368.731

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More Chicago Cubs profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.