Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Alejandro Rosario

WSH · AA · P IL(Full Season)

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 24.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
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Assessment saved:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 90%
PB Rank#1,889
Prospect Score49
Median48
Performance50
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 60; command evidence sits near the 99th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 1.3

What could change the read

  • A 13.1 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+29.6 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 96
Command+32.6 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 99

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 41 Latest recorded 48
53 44.5 36 2026-08-27 · Median 41 2026-08-28 · Median 41 2026-09-01 · Median 40 2026-09-02 · Median 40 2026-09-03 · Median 40 2026-09-05 · Median 40 2026-09-06 · Median 40 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 48.1 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-08-27 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1448.1
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0640
2026-09-0540
2026-09-0340
2026-09-0240
2026-09-0140
2026-08-2841
2026-08-2741

Metrics to follow

BB/9 1.3

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 0.90

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 33.1%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2024 season

Latest recorded regular season
G18
IP88.1
ERA2.24
WHIP0.93
K/913.1
BB/91.3
K-BB%33.1%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Update date unavailable

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
384860
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 50

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 72
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence77
TypePitcher

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball60Above Avg
Slider icon
Slider55Avg
Splitter icon
Splitter60Above Avg
Command icon
Control60Above Avg
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderSplitterCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Command Starter

Statistics availability

The available statistics do not have a recorded update date. Missing values are not treated as zero. The model assessment reflects the evidence available to that run.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2024Hickory CrawdadsHigh-A222.4087041.133131108600.9913.06
2024Down East Wood DucksSingle-A232.111010047.036141125690.8713.21
20242 teams · TotalAll levels452.241817088.16927222131290.9313.14

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs.

More Washington Nationals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.