Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Shane Van Dam

KC · Single-A · P Development List

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 22.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Performance Signal Only
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Scouting comparison unavailable

Current performance can be evaluated, but a tool-to-results comparison requires verified scouting grades

Insufficient Evidence · 0%
PB Rank#2,110
Prospect Score47
Median44
Performance44
Trend0.0%

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

No tool-to-results comparison is available in this saved assessment. The recorded model range is shown below.

Model Range0.0%
374452
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 44

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 40 Latest recorded 44
49 41.5 34 2026-06-04 · Median 40 2026-06-05 · Median 40 2026-06-06 · Median 40 2026-06-07 · Median 40 2026-06-08 · Median 40 2026-06-09 · Median 40 2026-06-10 · Median 40 2026-06-11 · Median 38 2026-06-12 · Median 38 2026-06-13 · Median 38 2026-06-14 · Median 38 2026-06-15 · Median 38 2026-06-16 · Median 38 2026-06-17 · Median 38 2026-06-18 · Median 38 2026-06-19 · Median 38 2026-06-20 · Median 38 2026-06-21 · Median 38 2026-06-22 · Median 38 2026-06-23 · Median 38 2026-06-24 · Median 38 2026-06-25 · Median 38 2026-06-26 · Median 38 2026-06-28 · Median 38 2026-06-29 · Median 38 2026-06-30 · Median 38 2026-07-01 · Median 38 2026-07-03 · Median 40 2026-07-05 · Median 41 2026-07-07 · Median 41 2026-07-09 · Median 41 2026-07-11 · Median 41 2026-07-12 · Median 41 2026-07-14 · Median 41 2026-07-16 · Median 41 2026-07-21 · Median 43 2026-07-22 · Median 43 2026-07-23 · Median 43 2026-07-24 · Median 42 2026-07-25 · Median 42 2026-07-26 · Median 42 2026-07-27 · Median 42 2026-07-28 · Median 42 2026-07-29 · Median 44 2026-07-30 · Median 44 2026-07-31 · Median 44 2026-08-01 · Median 44 2026-08-03 · Median 44 2026-08-05 · Median 44 2026-08-07 · Median 44 2026-08-08 · Median 44 2026-08-09 · Median 44 2026-08-10 · Median 44 2026-08-11 · Median 44 2026-08-13 · Median 44 2026-08-14 · Median 45 2026-08-16 · Median 45 2026-08-17 · Median 44 2026-08-18 · Median 44 2026-08-19 · Median 44 2026-08-20 · Median 45 2026-08-22 · Median 45 2026-08-23 · Median 44.5 2026-08-25 · Median 44.5 2026-08-27 · Median 44 2026-08-28 · Median 44 2026-09-01 · Median 44 2026-09-02 · Median 44 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 45 2026-09-14 · Median 44.7 2026-09-15 · Median 45 2026-09-16 · Median 45 2026-09-17 · Median 45 2026-09-18 · Median 45 2026-09-19 · Median 45 2026-09-21 · Median 45 2026-09-22 · Median 44 2026-09-24 · Median 44 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 44

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2444
2026-09-2244
2026-09-2145
2026-09-1945
2026-09-1845
2026-09-1745
2026-09-1645
2026-09-1545
2026-09-1444.7
2026-09-0945
2026-09-0645
2026-09-0545
2026-09-0345
2026-09-0244
2026-09-0144
2026-08-2844
2026-08-2744
2026-08-2544.5
2026-08-2344.5
2026-08-2245
2026-08-2045
2026-08-1944
2026-08-1844
2026-08-1744
2026-08-1645
2026-08-1445
2026-08-1344
2026-08-1144
2026-08-1044
2026-08-0944
2026-08-0844
2026-08-0744
2026-08-0544
2026-08-0344
2026-08-0144
2026-07-3144
2026-07-3044
2026-07-2944
2026-07-2842
2026-07-2742
2026-07-2642
2026-07-2542
2026-07-2442
2026-07-2343
2026-07-2243
2026-07-2143
2026-07-1641
2026-07-1441
2026-07-1241
2026-07-1141
2026-07-0941
2026-07-0741
2026-07-0541
2026-07-0340
2026-07-0138
2026-06-3038
2026-06-2938
2026-06-2838
2026-06-2638
2026-06-2538
2026-06-2438
2026-06-2338
2026-06-2238
2026-06-2138
2026-06-2038
2026-06-1938
2026-06-1838
2026-06-1738
2026-06-1638
2026-06-1538
2026-06-1438
2026-06-1338
2026-06-1238
2026-06-1138
2026-06-1040
2026-06-0940
2026-06-0840
2026-06-0740
2026-06-0640
2026-06-0540
2026-06-0440

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G23
IP93.1
ERA4.53
WHIP1.47
K/98.0
BB/92.7
K-BB%13.3%

Columbia Fireflies · Single-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
374452
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 44

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence58
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production48.7
Historical 80% error band28–70
MLB arrival in 3 years7%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Tool grades unavailable from verified public scouting reports.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels006.751104.06330151.7511.25
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Columbia FirefliesSingle-A364.532318093.11095747928831.478.00

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

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