Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Yhoiker Fajardo

STL · AA · P

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 20 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#16
Prospect Score84
Median82
Performance70
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 50; command evidence sits near the 77th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 2.9

What could change the read

  • A 11.5 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+19.2 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 86
Command+27.0 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 77

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 81 Latest recorded 82
86 74.5 63 2026-06-04 · Median 81 2026-06-05 · Median 81 2026-06-06 · Median 81 2026-06-07 · Median 81 2026-06-08 · Median 81 2026-06-09 · Median 81 2026-06-10 · Median 75 2026-06-11 · Median 75 2026-06-12 · Median 75 2026-06-13 · Median 75 2026-06-14 · Median 75 2026-06-15 · Median 75 2026-06-16 · Median 75 2026-06-17 · Median 75 2026-06-18 · Median 75 2026-06-19 · Median 75 2026-06-20 · Median 75 2026-06-21 · Median 75 2026-06-22 · Median 75 2026-06-23 · Median 75 2026-06-24 · Median 75 2026-06-25 · Median 78 2026-06-26 · Median 78 2026-06-28 · Median 78 2026-06-29 · Median 78 2026-06-30 · Median 78 2026-07-01 · Median 78 2026-07-03 · Median 74 2026-07-05 · Median 74 2026-07-07 · Median 74 2026-07-09 · Median 73 2026-07-11 · Median 74 2026-07-12 · Median 74 2026-07-14 · Median 74 2026-07-16 · Median 74 2026-07-21 · Median 76 2026-07-22 · Median 76 2026-07-23 · Median 76 2026-07-24 · Median 79 2026-07-25 · Median 78 2026-07-26 · Median 78 2026-07-27 · Median 78 2026-07-28 · Median 78 2026-07-29 · Median 78 2026-07-30 · Median 76 2026-07-31 · Median 76 2026-08-01 · Median 76 2026-08-03 · Median 76 2026-08-05 · Median 76 2026-08-07 · Median 68 2026-08-08 · Median 68 2026-08-09 · Median 68 2026-08-10 · Median 68 2026-08-11 · Median 68 2026-08-13 · Median 68 2026-08-14 · Median 68 2026-08-16 · Median 68 2026-08-17 · Median 68 2026-08-18 · Median 68 2026-08-19 · Median 68 2026-08-20 · Median 67.9 2026-08-27 · Median 77 2026-08-28 · Median 77 2026-09-01 · Median 75 2026-09-02 · Median 75 2026-09-03 · Median 75 2026-09-05 · Median 75 2026-09-06 · Median 75 2026-09-09 · Median 82 2026-09-14 · Median 82 2026-09-15 · Median 82 2026-09-16 · Median 82 2026-09-17 · Median 82 2026-09-18 · Median 82 2026-09-19 · Median 82 2026-09-21 · Median 82 2026-09-22 · Median 82 2026-09-24 · Median 82 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 82

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2482
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Metrics to follow

BB/9 2.9

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.30

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 22.3%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G23
IP101.1
ERA3.82
WHIP1.33
K/911.5
BB/92.9
K-BB%22.3%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
778287
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 70

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch83 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence94
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production54.4
Historical 80% error band32–77
MLB arrival in 3 years64%
Productive MLB role in 3 years15%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball50Avg
Slider icon
Slider60Above Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup55Avg
Command icon
Control50Avg
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Slider-Driven

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels104.152208.29541261.276.23
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Springfield CardinalsAA313.2455025.02610917241.328.64
2026Peoria ChiefsHigh-A254.011816076.176383411261061.3412.50
20262 teams · TotalAll levels563.8223210101.1102484312331301.3311.55
2025Salem Red SoxSingle-A132.981313051.1432117020591.2310.34
2025FCL Red SoxFCL010.4464020.293107240.7710.45
20252 teams · TotalAll levels142.251917072.0522418027831.1010.38
2024DSL White SoxDSL143.911313050.252292228641.1811.37

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More St. Louis Cardinals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.