Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Theo Gillen

TB · AA · OF

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 21 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Game power ahead of the tool grade

Current extra-base impact is outperforming the verified power expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#20
Prospect Score82
Median79
Performance70
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 50; game-power evidence sits near the 91th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.231

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+17.6 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 84
Game Power+40.8 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 91

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 73 Latest recorded 79
87 77 67 2026-06-04 · Median 73 2026-06-05 · Median 73 2026-06-06 · Median 73 2026-06-07 · Median 73 2026-06-08 · Median 73 2026-06-09 · Median 73 2026-06-10 · Median 73 2026-06-11 · Median 73 2026-06-12 · Median 73 2026-06-13 · Median 73 2026-06-14 · Median 73 2026-06-15 · Median 73 2026-06-16 · Median 73 2026-06-17 · Median 73 2026-06-18 · Median 73 2026-06-19 · Median 73 2026-06-20 · Median 73 2026-06-21 · Median 73 2026-06-22 · Median 73 2026-06-23 · Median 73 2026-06-24 · Median 73 2026-06-25 · Median 75 2026-06-26 · Median 75 2026-06-28 · Median 75 2026-06-29 · Median 75 2026-06-30 · Median 75 2026-07-01 · Median 75 2026-07-03 · Median 72 2026-07-05 · Median 72 2026-07-07 · Median 71 2026-07-09 · Median 71 2026-07-11 · Median 71 2026-07-12 · Median 71 2026-07-14 · Median 71 2026-07-16 · Median 71 2026-07-21 · Median 72 2026-07-22 · Median 72 2026-07-23 · Median 72 2026-07-24 · Median 81 2026-07-25 · Median 81 2026-07-26 · Median 82 2026-07-27 · Median 82 2026-07-28 · Median 82 2026-07-29 · Median 82 2026-07-30 · Median 83 2026-07-31 · Median 83 2026-08-01 · Median 83 2026-08-03 · Median 83 2026-08-05 · Median 83 2026-08-07 · Median 83 2026-08-08 · Median 83 2026-08-09 · Median 83 2026-08-10 · Median 83 2026-08-11 · Median 83 2026-08-13 · Median 83 2026-08-14 · Median 83 2026-08-16 · Median 81 2026-08-17 · Median 81 2026-08-18 · Median 82 2026-08-19 · Median 81 2026-08-20 · Median 81 2026-08-22 · Median 81 2026-08-23 · Median 79.4 2026-08-25 · Median 79.2 2026-08-27 · Median 79 2026-08-28 · Median 79 2026-09-01 · Median 79 2026-09-02 · Median 79 2026-09-03 · Median 79 2026-09-05 · Median 79 2026-09-06 · Median 79 2026-09-09 · Median 79 2026-09-14 · Median 79.1 2026-09-15 · Median 79 2026-09-16 · Median 79 2026-09-17 · Median 79 2026-09-18 · Median 79 2026-09-19 · Median 79 2026-09-21 · Median 79 2026-09-22 · Median 79 2026-09-24 · Median 79 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 79

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2479
2026-09-2279
2026-09-2179
2026-09-1979
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Metrics to follow

ISO 0.231

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.546

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 21.8%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G116
PA533
AVG.315
OBP.419
SLG.546
OPS.965
HR22
SB44
BB%13.9%
K%21.8%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
757984
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 70

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model WatchMLB #12 MLB Top 100
Confidence93
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production49.7
Historical 80% error band32–67
MLB arrival in 3 years94%
Productive MLB role in 3 years53%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit60Above Avg
Power icon
Power50Avg
Speed icon
Speed60Above Avg
Defense icon
Defense55Avg
Arm icon
Arm45Fringe
Overall icon
Overall60Above Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Contact Bat

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels1569621217321105132.274.333.435.769
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Montgomery BiscuitsAA5926822643651141047365316.288.390.504.894
2026Bowling Green Hot RodsHigh-A5726521953751231244386328.342.449.5891.038
20262 teams · TotalAll levels1165334459614023722917411644.315.419.546.965
2025Charleston RiverDogsSingle-A733242436265121518647536.267.433.387.820
2024Charleston RiverDogsSingle-A834264410028141.154.353.192.545

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2024 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Tampa Bay Rays profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.