Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

David Shields

KC · High-A · P

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 20 · Bats: S · Throws: L

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#22
Prospect Score82
Median79
Performance73
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 55; command evidence sits near the 94th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 2.2

What could change the read

  • A 10.7 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+22.1 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 80
Command+35.8 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 94

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 72 Latest recorded 79
84 73.5 63 2026-06-04 · Median 72 2026-06-05 · Median 72 2026-06-06 · Median 68 2026-06-07 · Median 68 2026-06-08 · Median 68 2026-06-09 · Median 68 2026-06-10 · Median 68 2026-06-11 · Median 68 2026-06-12 · Median 67 2026-06-13 · Median 72 2026-06-14 · Median 72 2026-06-15 · Median 72 2026-06-16 · Median 72 2026-06-17 · Median 73 2026-06-18 · Median 73 2026-06-19 · Median 75 2026-06-20 · Median 75 2026-06-21 · Median 75 2026-06-22 · Median 75 2026-06-23 · Median 75 2026-06-24 · Median 75 2026-06-25 · Median 75 2026-06-26 · Median 77 2026-06-28 · Median 77 2026-06-29 · Median 77 2026-06-30 · Median 77 2026-07-01 · Median 77 2026-07-03 · Median 75 2026-07-05 · Median 75 2026-07-07 · Median 75 2026-07-09 · Median 77 2026-07-11 · Median 77 2026-07-12 · Median 77 2026-07-14 · Median 76 2026-07-16 · Median 76 2026-07-21 · Median 76 2026-07-22 · Median 76 2026-07-23 · Median 76 2026-07-24 · Median 76 2026-07-25 · Median 75 2026-07-26 · Median 75 2026-07-27 · Median 75 2026-07-28 · Median 75 2026-07-29 · Median 75 2026-07-30 · Median 75 2026-07-31 · Median 75 2026-08-01 · Median 75 2026-08-03 · Median 75 2026-08-05 · Median 75 2026-08-07 · Median 75 2026-08-08 · Median 76 2026-08-09 · Median 76 2026-08-10 · Median 76 2026-08-11 · Median 76 2026-08-13 · Median 76 2026-08-14 · Median 76 2026-08-16 · Median 77 2026-08-17 · Median 77 2026-08-18 · Median 77 2026-08-19 · Median 77 2026-08-20 · Median 77 2026-08-22 · Median 77 2026-08-23 · Median 76.5 2026-08-25 · Median 76.5 2026-08-27 · Median 77 2026-08-28 · Median 77 2026-09-01 · Median 78 2026-09-02 · Median 78 2026-09-03 · Median 78 2026-09-05 · Median 78 2026-09-06 · Median 78 2026-09-09 · Median 79 2026-09-14 · Median 79.1 2026-09-15 · Median 79 2026-09-16 · Median 79 2026-09-17 · Median 79 2026-09-18 · Median 79 2026-09-19 · Median 79 2026-09-21 · Median 79 2026-09-22 · Median 79 2026-09-24 · Median 79 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 79

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2479
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Metrics to follow

BB/9 2.2

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.10

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 23.7%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G25
IP116.2
ERA4.01
WHIP1.08
K/910.7
BB/92.2
K-BB%23.7%

Quad Cities River Bandits · High-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
747985
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 73

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 3
MLB / Model Watch79 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence92
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production59.0
Historical 80% error band38–80
MLB arrival in 3 years58%
Productive MLB role in 3 years11%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball45Fringe
Slider icon
Slider55Avg
Curveball icon
Curveball50Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup55Avg
Command icon
Control55Avg
Overall icon
Overall55Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCurveballChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Arsenal

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels114.5022010.065520120.6010.80
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Quad Cities River BanditsHigh-A1164.0125250116.298625210281391.0810.72
2025Columbia FirefliesSingle-A312.011818071.2582216315811.0210.17
2025ACL RoyalsACL019.001104.04441051.0011.25
20252 teams · TotalAll levels322.381919075.2622620415861.0210.23

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2026 Bowman · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Kansas City Royals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.