Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Ben Grable

WSH · AAA · P

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 24.4 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#42
Prospect Score80
Median76
Performance74
Trend+0.1%

Why the player is here

  • Command 55; command evidence sits near the 76th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 3.6

What could change the read

  • A 13.6 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+12.9 percentile gap
Expected 83 Observed 96
Command+18.1 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 76

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 61 Latest recorded 76
82 64 46 2026-06-04 · Median 61 2026-06-05 · Median 61 2026-06-06 · Median 61 2026-06-07 · Median 61 2026-06-08 · Median 61 2026-06-09 · Median 61 2026-06-10 · Median 61 2026-06-11 · Median 60 2026-06-12 · Median 60 2026-06-13 · Median 60 2026-06-14 · Median 59 2026-06-15 · Median 59 2026-06-16 · Median 59 2026-06-17 · Median 59 2026-06-18 · Median 61 2026-06-19 · Median 61 2026-06-20 · Median 61 2026-06-21 · Median 62 2026-06-22 · Median 62 2026-06-23 · Median 62 2026-06-24 · Median 62 2026-06-25 · Median 62 2026-06-26 · Median 61 2026-06-28 · Median 59 2026-06-29 · Median 60 2026-06-30 · Median 60 2026-07-01 · Median 60 2026-07-03 · Median 59 2026-07-05 · Median 59 2026-07-07 · Median 61 2026-07-09 · Median 63 2026-07-11 · Median 63 2026-07-12 · Median 63 2026-07-14 · Median 63 2026-07-16 · Median 63 2026-07-21 · Median 65 2026-07-22 · Median 65 2026-07-23 · Median 65 2026-07-24 · Median 65 2026-07-25 · Median 65 2026-07-26 · Median 65 2026-07-27 · Median 65 2026-07-28 · Median 65 2026-07-29 · Median 65 2026-07-30 · Median 65 2026-07-31 · Median 66 2026-08-01 · Median 66 2026-08-03 · Median 66 2026-08-05 · Median 66 2026-08-07 · Median 66 2026-08-08 · Median 68 2026-08-09 · Median 68 2026-08-10 · Median 68 2026-08-11 · Median 69 2026-08-13 · Median 69 2026-08-14 · Median 70 2026-08-16 · Median 70 2026-08-17 · Median 70 2026-08-18 · Median 71 2026-08-19 · Median 71 2026-08-20 · Median 71 2026-08-22 · Median 71 2026-08-23 · Median 71.4 2026-08-25 · Median 71.4 2026-08-27 · Median 50 2026-08-28 · Median 50 2026-09-01 · Median 52 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 53 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 78 2026-09-14 · Median 76 2026-09-15 · Median 76 2026-09-16 · Median 76 2026-09-17 · Median 75 2026-09-18 · Median 75 2026-09-19 · Median 76 2026-09-21 · Median 76 2026-09-22 · Median 76 2026-09-24 · Median 76 2026-09-25 · Median 76 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 76

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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Metrics to follow

BB/9 3.6

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.20

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 26.2%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G48
IP50.1
ERA3.04
WHIP1.17
K/913.6
BB/93.6
K-BB%26.2%

4 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range+0.1%
727680
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 74

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch76 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence89
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production58.8
Historical 80% error band34–84
MLB arrival in 3 years58%
Productive MLB role in 3 years18%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball70Plus-Plus
Slider icon
Slider55Avg
Command icon
Control55Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Power Fastball

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels009.538005.212660563.009.53
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Rochester Red WingsAAA008.109006.213660662.858.10
2026Harrisburg SenatorsAA001.297007.051104141.2918.00
2026Somerset PatriotsAA212.79260329.0189918390.9012.10
2026Hudson Valley RenegadesHigh-A101.176017.231102170.6519.96
20264 teams · TotalAll levels313.04480450.1391717120761.1713.59

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

More Washington Nationals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.