Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Mason Molina

STL · AAA · P

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 23.2 · Bats: R · Throws: L

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#69
Prospect Score77
Median72
Performance66
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 45; command evidence sits near the 72th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 3.9

What could change the read

  • A 10.9 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+6.0 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 73
Command+30.5 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 72

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 64 Latest recorded 72
77 64.5 52 2026-06-04 · Median 64 2026-06-05 · Median 64 2026-06-06 · Median 64 2026-06-07 · Median 64 2026-06-08 · Median 64 2026-06-09 · Median 64 2026-06-10 · Median 65 2026-06-11 · Median 65 2026-06-12 · Median 65 2026-06-13 · Median 65 2026-06-14 · Median 65 2026-06-15 · Median 65 2026-06-16 · Median 65 2026-06-17 · Median 65 2026-06-18 · Median 65 2026-06-19 · Median 65 2026-06-20 · Median 65 2026-06-21 · Median 65 2026-06-22 · Median 67 2026-06-23 · Median 67 2026-06-24 · Median 67 2026-06-25 · Median 67 2026-06-26 · Median 67 2026-06-28 · Median 67 2026-06-29 · Median 67 2026-06-30 · Median 67 2026-07-01 · Median 67 2026-07-03 · Median 68 2026-07-05 · Median 56 2026-07-07 · Median 56 2026-07-09 · Median 56 2026-07-11 · Median 56 2026-07-12 · Median 56 2026-07-14 · Median 56 2026-07-16 · Median 56 2026-07-21 · Median 56 2026-07-22 · Median 56 2026-07-23 · Median 65 2026-07-24 · Median 65 2026-08-20 · Median 58 2026-08-22 · Median 58 2026-08-23 · Median 58 2026-08-25 · Median 58 2026-08-27 · Median 58 2026-08-28 · Median 58 2026-09-01 · Median 58 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 72 2026-09-14 · Median 72.3 2026-09-15 · Median 72 2026-09-16 · Median 72 2026-09-17 · Median 72 2026-09-18 · Median 72 2026-09-19 · Median 72 2026-09-21 · Median 72 2026-09-22 · Median 72 2026-09-24 · Median 72 2026-09-25 · Median 72 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 72

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2572
2026-09-2472
2026-09-2272
2026-09-2172
2026-09-1972
2026-09-1872
2026-09-1772
2026-09-1672
2026-09-1572
2026-09-1472.3
2026-09-0972
2026-09-0658
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2026-09-0358
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2026-07-0956
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Metrics to follow

BB/9 3.9

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.20

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 18.4%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G27
IP123.2
ERA3.57
WHIP1.25
K/910.9
BB/93.9
K-BB%18.4%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
687277
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 66

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch75 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence94
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production49.1
Historical 80% error band26–72
MLB arrival in 3 years75%
Productive MLB role in 3 years21%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball55Avg
Slider icon
Slider45Fringe
Curveball icon
Curveball40Developmental
Changeup icon
Changeup60Above Avg
Command icon
Control45Fringe
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCurveballChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Changeup Feel

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels300.4444020.2111106240.8210.45
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Memphis RedbirdsAAA524.451313054.2512727627681.4311.20
2026Springfield CardinalsAA322.871414069.0502422526821.1010.70
20262 teams · TotalAll levels843.5727270123.2101514911531501.2510.92
2025Hub City SpartanburgersHigh-A122.6376027.11898012301.109.88
2025Peoria ChiefsHigh-A212.0855021.21565215271.3811.22
2025Hickory CrawdadsSingle-A233.861111046.2372120616621.1411.96
20253 teams · TotalAll levels563.102322095.27036338431191.1811.20
2024Carolina MudcatsSingle-A000.002205.04000161.0010.80

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

More St. Louis Cardinals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.