Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Xavier Mitchell

LAA · ACL · P

Los Angeles Angels · Age at assessment: 20.2 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Tools Ahead of Results
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command not yet translating

The verified command expectation is running ahead of current strike-throwing results. Walk rate is the clearest constraint

Medium Confidence · 73%
PB Rank#3,320
Prospect Score39
Median41
Performance39
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 50; command evidence sits near the 22th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 8.5

What could change the read

  • A 14.8 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+24.3 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 83
Command-27.7 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 22

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 41
50 43 36 2026-06-04 · Median 46 2026-06-05 · Median 46 2026-06-06 · Median 43 2026-06-07 · Median 43 2026-06-08 · Median 43 2026-06-09 · Median 43 2026-06-10 · Median 43 2026-06-11 · Median 43 2026-06-12 · Median 43 2026-06-13 · Median 43 2026-06-14 · Median 43 2026-06-15 · Median 43 2026-06-16 · Median 43 2026-06-17 · Median 43 2026-06-18 · Median 43 2026-06-19 · Median 43 2026-06-20 · Median 43 2026-06-21 · Median 43 2026-06-22 · Median 43 2026-06-23 · Median 43 2026-06-24 · Median 43 2026-06-25 · Median 43 2026-06-26 · Median 43 2026-06-28 · Median 43 2026-06-29 · Median 43 2026-06-30 · Median 43 2026-07-01 · Median 43 2026-07-03 · Median 44 2026-07-05 · Median 42 2026-07-07 · Median 42 2026-07-09 · Median 42 2026-07-11 · Median 42 2026-07-12 · Median 42 2026-07-14 · Median 42 2026-07-16 · Median 42 2026-07-21 · Median 42 2026-07-22 · Median 42 2026-07-23 · Median 42 2026-07-24 · Median 42 2026-07-25 · Median 42 2026-07-26 · Median 42 2026-07-27 · Median 42 2026-07-28 · Median 42 2026-07-29 · Median 42 2026-07-30 · Median 42 2026-07-31 · Median 42 2026-08-01 · Median 42 2026-08-03 · Median 42 2026-08-05 · Median 42 2026-08-07 · Median 42 2026-08-08 · Median 42 2026-08-09 · Median 42 2026-08-10 · Median 42 2026-08-11 · Median 42 2026-08-13 · Median 42 2026-08-14 · Median 42 2026-08-16 · Median 42 2026-08-17 · Median 42 2026-08-18 · Median 42 2026-08-19 · Median 42 2026-08-20 · Median 42 2026-08-22 · Median 42 2026-08-23 · Median 41.8 2026-08-25 · Median 41.8 2026-08-27 · Median 42 2026-08-28 · Median 42 2026-09-01 · Median 42 2026-09-02 · Median 42 2026-09-03 · Median 42 2026-09-05 · Median 42 2026-09-06 · Median 41 2026-09-09 · Median 41 2026-09-14 · Median 40.6 2026-09-15 · Median 41 2026-09-16 · Median 41 2026-09-17 · Median 41 2026-09-18 · Median 41 2026-09-19 · Median 41 2026-09-21 · Median 41 2026-09-22 · Median 41 2026-09-24 · Median 41 2026-09-25 · Median 41 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 41

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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Metrics to follow

BB/9 8.5

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 2.10

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 13.5%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G9
IP24.1
ERA9.99
WHIP2.05
K/914.8
BB/98.5
K-BB%13.5%

ACL Angels · ACL · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
304154
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 39

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 70
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence75
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production45.5
Historical 80% error band21–70
MLB arrival in 3 years2%
Productive MLB role in 3 years0%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball55Avg
Curveball icon
Curveball55Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup50Avg
Command icon
Control50Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballCurveballChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026ACL AngelsACL049.9999024.1273027323402.0514.79

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

More Los Angeles Angels profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.