Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Aaron Nixon

BOS · AA · P

Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 25.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Performance Signal Only
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Scouting comparison unavailable

Current performance can be evaluated, but a tool-to-results comparison requires verified scouting grades

Insufficient Evidence · 0%
PB Rank#3,328
Prospect Score39
Median41
Performance41
Trend0.0%

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

No tool-to-results comparison is available in this saved assessment. The recorded model range is shown below.

Model Range0.0%
324150
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 41

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 35 Latest recorded 41
46 37 28 2026-06-04 · Median 35 2026-06-05 · Median 35 2026-06-06 · Median 35 2026-06-07 · Median 35 2026-06-08 · Median 35 2026-06-09 · Median 35 2026-06-10 · Median 35 2026-06-11 · Median 34 2026-06-12 · Median 34 2026-06-13 · Median 34 2026-06-14 · Median 34 2026-06-15 · Median 34 2026-06-16 · Median 34 2026-06-17 · Median 34 2026-06-18 · Median 34 2026-06-19 · Median 34 2026-06-20 · Median 34 2026-06-21 · Median 34 2026-06-22 · Median 34 2026-06-23 · Median 34 2026-06-24 · Median 34 2026-06-25 · Median 34 2026-06-26 · Median 34 2026-06-28 · Median 34 2026-06-29 · Median 34 2026-06-30 · Median 34 2026-07-01 · Median 33 2026-07-03 · Median 34 2026-07-05 · Median 34 2026-07-07 · Median 34 2026-07-09 · Median 34 2026-07-11 · Median 34 2026-07-12 · Median 34 2026-07-14 · Median 34 2026-07-16 · Median 34 2026-07-21 · Median 34 2026-07-22 · Median 34 2026-07-23 · Median 34 2026-07-24 · Median 32 2026-07-25 · Median 32 2026-07-26 · Median 32 2026-07-27 · Median 32 2026-07-28 · Median 32 2026-07-29 · Median 32 2026-07-30 · Median 32 2026-07-31 · Median 32 2026-08-01 · Median 32 2026-08-03 · Median 32 2026-08-05 · Median 33 2026-08-07 · Median 33 2026-08-08 · Median 33 2026-08-09 · Median 33 2026-08-10 · Median 33 2026-08-11 · Median 33 2026-08-13 · Median 33 2026-08-14 · Median 34 2026-08-16 · Median 34 2026-08-17 · Median 34 2026-08-18 · Median 34 2026-08-19 · Median 34 2026-08-20 · Median 35 2026-08-22 · Median 35 2026-08-23 · Median 34.4 2026-08-25 · Median 34.4 2026-08-27 · Median 34 2026-08-28 · Median 34 2026-09-01 · Median 35 2026-09-02 · Median 35 2026-09-03 · Median 35 2026-09-05 · Median 35 2026-09-06 · Median 35 2026-09-09 · Median 42 2026-09-14 · Median 41.3 2026-09-15 · Median 41 2026-09-16 · Median 41 2026-09-17 · Median 41 2026-09-18 · Median 41 2026-09-19 · Median 41 2026-09-21 · Median 41 2026-09-22 · Median 41 2026-09-24 · Median 41 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 41

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2441
2026-09-2241
2026-09-2141
2026-09-1941
2026-09-1841
2026-09-1741
2026-09-1641
2026-09-1541
2026-09-1441.3
2026-09-0942
2026-09-0635
2026-09-0535
2026-09-0335
2026-09-0235
2026-09-0135
2026-08-2834
2026-08-2734
2026-08-2534.4
2026-08-2334.4
2026-08-2235
2026-08-2035
2026-08-1934
2026-08-1834
2026-08-1734
2026-08-1634
2026-08-1434
2026-08-1333
2026-08-1133
2026-08-1033
2026-08-0933
2026-08-0833
2026-08-0733
2026-08-0533
2026-08-0332
2026-08-0132
2026-07-3132
2026-07-3032
2026-07-2932
2026-07-2832
2026-07-2732
2026-07-2632
2026-07-2532
2026-07-2432
2026-07-2334
2026-07-2234
2026-07-2134
2026-07-1634
2026-07-1434
2026-07-1234
2026-07-1134
2026-07-0934
2026-07-0734
2026-07-0534
2026-07-0334
2026-07-0133
2026-06-3034
2026-06-2934
2026-06-2834
2026-06-2634
2026-06-2534
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2026-06-2334
2026-06-2234
2026-06-2134
2026-06-2034
2026-06-1934
2026-06-1834
2026-06-1734
2026-06-1634
2026-06-1534
2026-06-1434
2026-06-1334
2026-06-1234
2026-06-1134
2026-06-1035
2026-06-0935
2026-06-0835
2026-06-0735
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2026-06-0535
2026-06-0435

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G23
IP25.0
ERA8.28
WHIP2.08
K/910.1
BB/95.4
K-BB%9.8%

3 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
324150
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 41

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 42
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence50
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production41.7
Historical 80% error band17–66
MLB arrival in 3 years3%
Productive MLB role in 3 years0%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Tool grades unavailable from verified public scouting reports.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels026.004026.09541161.679.00
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Portland Sea DogsAA0136.001001.04441014.009.00
2026Greenville DriveHigh-A039.826027.1149804112.4513.50
2026Hudson Valley RenegadesHigh-A205.94160016.2191211111161.808.64
20263 teams · TotalAll levels248.28230225.0372523215282.0810.08
2024Tampa TarponsSingle-A435.40390561.2464137348631.529.19

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

More Boston Red Sox profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.