Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Murf Gray

PIT · AA · 3B

Pittsburgh Pirates · Age at assessment: 22.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Game power ahead of the tool grade

Current extra-base impact is outperforming the verified power expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#83
Prospect Score76
Median70
Performance68
Trend-0.1%

Why the player is here

  • Power 50; game-power evidence sits near the 96th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.262

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+42.6 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 84
Game Power+46.3 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 96

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 70
75 62.5 50 2026-06-04 · Median 54 2026-06-05 · Median 54 2026-06-06 · Median 57 2026-06-07 · Median 58 2026-06-08 · Median 58 2026-06-09 · Median 58 2026-06-10 · Median 59 2026-06-11 · Median 58 2026-06-12 · Median 59 2026-06-13 · Median 61 2026-06-14 · Median 62 2026-06-15 · Median 62 2026-06-16 · Median 62 2026-06-17 · Median 61 2026-06-18 · Median 61 2026-06-19 · Median 62 2026-06-20 · Median 63 2026-06-21 · Median 63 2026-06-22 · Median 63 2026-06-23 · Median 63 2026-06-24 · Median 63 2026-06-25 · Median 65 2026-06-26 · Median 65 2026-06-28 · Median 66 2026-06-29 · Median 66 2026-06-30 · Median 66 2026-07-01 · Median 66 2026-07-03 · Median 65 2026-07-05 · Median 64 2026-07-07 · Median 65 2026-07-09 · Median 65 2026-07-11 · Median 64 2026-07-12 · Median 65 2026-07-14 · Median 64 2026-07-16 · Median 64 2026-07-21 · Median 57 2026-07-22 · Median 56 2026-07-23 · Median 67 2026-07-24 · Median 68 2026-07-25 · Median 67 2026-07-26 · Median 67 2026-07-27 · Median 67 2026-07-28 · Median 67 2026-07-29 · Median 67 2026-07-30 · Median 67 2026-07-31 · Median 67 2026-08-01 · Median 67 2026-08-03 · Median 67 2026-08-05 · Median 67 2026-08-07 · Median 67 2026-08-08 · Median 67 2026-08-09 · Median 67 2026-08-10 · Median 67 2026-08-11 · Median 67 2026-08-13 · Median 67 2026-08-14 · Median 67 2026-08-16 · Median 67 2026-08-17 · Median 67 2026-08-18 · Median 67 2026-08-19 · Median 67 2026-08-20 · Median 67 2026-08-22 · Median 67 2026-08-23 · Median 66.9 2026-08-25 · Median 66.9 2026-08-27 · Median 67 2026-08-28 · Median 67 2026-09-01 · Median 68 2026-09-02 · Median 68 2026-09-03 · Median 68 2026-09-05 · Median 68 2026-09-06 · Median 68 2026-09-09 · Median 70 2026-09-14 · Median 70.4 2026-09-15 · Median 70 2026-09-16 · Median 70 2026-09-17 · Median 70 2026-09-18 · Median 70 2026-09-19 · Median 70 2026-09-21 · Median 70 2026-09-22 · Median 70 2026-09-24 · Median 70 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 70

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2470
2026-09-2270
2026-09-2170
2026-09-1970
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Metrics to follow

ISO 0.262

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.567

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 20.4%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G126
PA558
AVG.305
OBP.402
SLG.567
OPS.969
HR32
SB5
BB%11.8%
K%20.4%

3 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range-0.1%
677075
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 68

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model WatchMLB #93 MLB Top 100
Confidence91
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production54.8
Historical 80% error band38–72
MLB arrival in 3 years88%
Productive MLB role in 3 years56%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit45Fringe
Power icon
Power50Avg
Speed icon
Speed40Developmental
Defense icon
Defense45Fringe
Arm icon
Arm60Above Avg
Overall icon
Overall55Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels166858131950312891.328.397.569.966
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Altoona CurveAA4519515534408092729432.258.395.484.879
2026Greensboro GrasshoppersHigh-A43197172375280153622413.302.381.610.991
2026Bradenton MaraudersSingle-A38166142295111083415300.359.436.6061.042
20263 teams · TotalAll levels1265584691001432703297661145.305.402.567.969

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Pittsburgh Pirates profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.