Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Liam Doyle

STL · AA · P

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 22.3 · Bats: R · Throws: L

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Pitch quality translating

Current bat-missing results are broadly aligned with the verified pitch-quality expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#123
Prospect Score73
Median72
Performance60
Trend-0.1%

Why the player is here

  • Best pitch grade 70; dominance evidence sits near the 76th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • K/9 is 11.4

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff-7.3 percentile gap
Expected 83 Observed 76
Command+4.7 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 55

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 80 Latest recorded 72
84 75.5 67 2026-06-04 · Median 80 2026-06-05 · Median 80 2026-06-06 · Median 80 2026-06-07 · Median 80 2026-06-08 · Median 80 2026-06-09 · Median 80 2026-06-10 · Median 80 2026-06-11 · Median 80 2026-06-12 · Median 80 2026-06-13 · Median 80 2026-06-14 · Median 80 2026-06-15 · Median 80 2026-06-16 · Median 80 2026-06-17 · Median 80 2026-06-18 · Median 80 2026-06-19 · Median 80 2026-06-20 · Median 80 2026-06-21 · Median 80 2026-06-22 · Median 80 2026-06-23 · Median 80 2026-06-24 · Median 80 2026-06-25 · Median 80 2026-06-26 · Median 80 2026-06-28 · Median 80 2026-06-29 · Median 80 2026-06-30 · Median 80 2026-07-01 · Median 80 2026-07-03 · Median 77 2026-07-05 · Median 76 2026-07-07 · Median 76 2026-07-09 · Median 76 2026-07-11 · Median 76 2026-07-12 · Median 76 2026-07-14 · Median 76 2026-07-16 · Median 76 2026-07-21 · Median 76 2026-07-22 · Median 76 2026-07-23 · Median 76 2026-07-24 · Median 76 2026-07-25 · Median 76 2026-07-26 · Median 76 2026-07-27 · Median 76 2026-07-28 · Median 76 2026-07-29 · Median 75 2026-07-30 · Median 75 2026-07-31 · Median 75 2026-08-01 · Median 75 2026-08-03 · Median 75 2026-08-05 · Median 75 2026-08-07 · Median 75 2026-08-08 · Median 75 2026-08-09 · Median 75 2026-08-10 · Median 75 2026-08-11 · Median 75 2026-08-13 · Median 75 2026-08-14 · Median 75 2026-08-16 · Median 72 2026-08-17 · Median 72 2026-08-18 · Median 72 2026-08-19 · Median 72 2026-08-20 · Median 72 2026-08-22 · Median 72 2026-08-23 · Median 71.9 2026-08-25 · Median 71.9 2026-08-27 · Median 72 2026-08-28 · Median 72 2026-09-01 · Median 72 2026-09-02 · Median 72 2026-09-03 · Median 72 2026-09-05 · Median 72 2026-09-06 · Median 72 2026-09-09 · Median 72 2026-09-14 · Median 72.4 2026-09-15 · Median 72 2026-09-16 · Median 72 2026-09-17 · Median 72 2026-09-18 · Median 72 2026-09-19 · Median 72 2026-09-21 · Median 72 2026-09-22 · Median 72 2026-09-24 · Median 72 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 72

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2472
2026-09-2272
2026-09-2172
2026-09-1972
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2026-09-1572
2026-09-1472.4
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2026-09-0572
2026-09-0372
2026-09-0272
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2026-08-2872
2026-08-2772
2026-08-2571.9
2026-08-2371.9
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Metrics to follow

K/9 11.4

Primary bat-missing indicator

Definition

Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched

K-BB% 17.6%

Separates dominance from walk cost

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

BB/9 4.7

Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G23
IP103.0
ERA3.76
WHIP1.31
K/911.4
BB/94.7
K-BB%17.6%

Springfield Cardinals · AA · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range-0.1%
677277
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 60

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
MLB / Model WatchMLB #43 MLB Top 100
Confidence93
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production48.9
Historical 80% error band26–72
MLB arrival in 3 years51%
Productive MLB role in 3 years9%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball70Plus-Plus
Slider icon
Slider50Avg
Cutter icon
Cutter50Avg
Splitter icon
Splitter55Avg
Command icon
Control50Avg
Overall icon
Overall55Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCutterSplitterCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Power Fastball

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels202.5322010.25330490.847.59
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Springfield CardinalsAA773.7623230103.081474310541301.3111.36
2025Springfield CardinalsAA000.001102.02000031.0013.50
2025Palm Beach CardinalsSingle-A005.401101.21111231.8016.20
20252 teams · TotalAll levels002.452203.23111261.3614.73

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More St. Louis Cardinals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.