Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Javen Coleman

TOR · AAA · P

Toronto Blue Jays · Age at assessment: 24.8 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 93%
PB Rank#108
Prospect Score74
Median71
Performance67
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 45; command evidence sits near the 78th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 2.7

What could change the read

  • A 13.0 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+27.5 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 94
Command+36.7 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 78

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 32 Latest recorded 71
75 51.5 28 2026-06-04 · Median 32 2026-06-05 · Median 32 2026-06-06 · Median 32 2026-06-07 · Median 32 2026-06-08 · Median 32 2026-06-09 · Median 32 2026-06-10 · Median 32 2026-06-11 · Median 53 2026-06-12 · Median 53 2026-06-13 · Median 53 2026-06-14 · Median 53 2026-06-15 · Median 53 2026-06-16 · Median 53 2026-06-17 · Median 53 2026-06-18 · Median 53 2026-06-19 · Median 53 2026-06-20 · Median 53 2026-06-21 · Median 53 2026-06-22 · Median 52 2026-06-23 · Median 52 2026-06-24 · Median 52 2026-06-25 · Median 52 2026-06-26 · Median 52 2026-06-28 · Median 52 2026-06-29 · Median 52 2026-06-30 · Median 52 2026-07-01 · Median 52 2026-07-03 · Median 52 2026-07-05 · Median 52 2026-07-07 · Median 52 2026-07-09 · Median 52 2026-07-11 · Median 52 2026-07-12 · Median 52 2026-07-14 · Median 52 2026-07-16 · Median 52 2026-07-21 · Median 52 2026-07-22 · Median 52 2026-07-23 · Median 62 2026-07-24 · Median 62 2026-08-20 · Median 61 2026-08-22 · Median 61 2026-08-23 · Median 61 2026-08-25 · Median 61 2026-08-27 · Median 60 2026-08-28 · Median 60 2026-09-01 · Median 60 2026-09-02 · Median 60 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 60 2026-09-06 · Median 60 2026-09-09 · Median 69 2026-09-14 · Median 69.4 2026-09-15 · Median 69 2026-09-16 · Median 69 2026-09-17 · Median 69 2026-09-18 · Median 69 2026-09-19 · Median 69 2026-09-21 · Median 69 2026-09-22 · Median 69 2026-09-24 · Median 71 2026-09-25 · Median 71 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 71

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2571
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Metrics to follow

BB/9 2.7

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.30

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 26.9%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G33
IP40.0
ERA4.50
WHIP1.28
K/913.1
BB/92.7
K-BB%26.9%

4 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
677175
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 67

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch72 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence90
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production55.9
Historical 80% error band31–81
MLB arrival in 3 years37%
Productive MLB role in 3 years7%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball60Above Avg
Slider icon
Slider50Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup45Fringe
Command icon
Control45Fringe
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels0013.502002.04331142.5018.00
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Buffalo BisonsAAA119.53120111.115121226131.8510.32
2026New Hampshire Fisher CatsAA112.88180625.02410836371.2013.32
2026Dunedin Blue JaysSingle-A100.001001.20000030.0016.20
2026FCL Blue JaysFCL200.002002.00000050.0022.50
20264 teams · TotalAll levels524.50330740.0392220512581.2813.05
2025Vancouver CanadiansHigh-A101.40180325.2154406400.8214.03
2025Dunedin Blue JaysSingle-A114.45200328.1231714317451.4114.29
20252 teams · TotalAll levels213.00380654.0382118323851.1314.17

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

More Toronto Blue Jays profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.