Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Dylan Brown

BOS · High-A · P

Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 22.2 · Bats: R · Throws: L

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Dominance ahead of the tool grades

Current strikeout and K-BB results are outperforming the verified pitch-quality expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#147
Prospect Score72
Median67
Performance67
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Best pitch grade 50; dominance evidence sits near the 89th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • K/9 is 12.1

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+38.8 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 89
Command+33.7 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 84

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 58 Latest recorded 67
72 62.5 53 2026-06-04 · Median 58 2026-06-05 · Median 58 2026-06-06 · Median 58 2026-06-07 · Median 58 2026-06-08 · Median 58 2026-06-09 · Median 58 2026-06-10 · Median 57 2026-06-11 · Median 57 2026-06-12 · Median 57 2026-06-13 · Median 57 2026-06-14 · Median 57 2026-06-15 · Median 57 2026-06-16 · Median 57 2026-06-17 · Median 57 2026-06-18 · Median 57 2026-06-19 · Median 57 2026-06-20 · Median 57 2026-06-21 · Median 57 2026-06-22 · Median 57 2026-06-23 · Median 57 2026-06-24 · Median 57 2026-06-25 · Median 67 2026-06-26 · Median 67 2026-06-28 · Median 67 2026-06-29 · Median 67 2026-06-30 · Median 67 2026-07-01 · Median 64 2026-07-03 · Median 65 2026-07-05 · Median 65 2026-07-07 · Median 65 2026-07-09 · Median 65 2026-07-11 · Median 65 2026-07-12 · Median 65 2026-07-14 · Median 64 2026-07-16 · Median 63 2026-07-21 · Median 61 2026-07-22 · Median 61 2026-07-23 · Median 61 2026-07-24 · Median 60 2026-07-25 · Median 59 2026-07-26 · Median 62 2026-07-27 · Median 62 2026-07-28 · Median 62 2026-07-29 · Median 62 2026-07-30 · Median 62 2026-07-31 · Median 62 2026-08-01 · Median 64 2026-08-03 · Median 64 2026-08-05 · Median 64 2026-08-07 · Median 64 2026-08-08 · Median 65 2026-08-09 · Median 65 2026-08-10 · Median 65 2026-08-11 · Median 65 2026-08-13 · Median 65 2026-08-14 · Median 65 2026-08-16 · Median 65 2026-08-17 · Median 65 2026-08-18 · Median 65 2026-08-19 · Median 65 2026-08-20 · Median 65 2026-08-22 · Median 65 2026-08-23 · Median 65.8 2026-08-25 · Median 65.8 2026-08-27 · Median 66 2026-08-28 · Median 67 2026-09-01 · Median 67 2026-09-02 · Median 67 2026-09-03 · Median 68 2026-09-05 · Median 68 2026-09-06 · Median 68 2026-09-09 · Median 67 2026-09-14 · Median 67.3 2026-09-15 · Median 67 2026-09-16 · Median 67 2026-09-17 · Median 67 2026-09-18 · Median 67 2026-09-19 · Median 67 2026-09-21 · Median 67 2026-09-22 · Median 67 2026-09-24 · Median 67 2026-09-25 · Median 67 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 67

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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Metrics to follow

K/9 12.1

Primary bat-missing indicator

Definition

Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched

K-BB% 23.9%

Separates dominance from walk cost

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

BB/9 3.1

Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G22
IP106.2
ERA3.46
WHIP1.23
K/912.1
BB/93.1
K-BB%23.9%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
636772
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 67

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch70 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence90
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production60.1
Historical 80% error band39–81
MLB arrival in 3 years59%
Productive MLB role in 3 years13%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball50Avg
Slider icon
Slider45Fringe
Changeup icon
Changeup50Avg
Command icon
Control50Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels103.0922011.2104411130.9410.03
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Greenville DriveHigh-A473.781716083.17938354241111.2411.99
2026Salem RidgeYaksSingle-A212.3155023.115116013321.2012.34
20262 teams · TotalAll levels683.4622210106.29449414371431.2312.07

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

More Boston Red Sox profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.