Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Taitn Gray

TB · Single-A · IF

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 19.1 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact results ahead of the tool grade

Current contact and on-base results are outperforming the verified hit-tool expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#180
Prospect Score71
Median65
Performance60
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 50; contact evidence sits near the 75th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 21.7%

What could change the read

  • A 12.3% walk rate provides meaningful approach support
  • A 0.390 OBP is keeping the offensive foundation intact

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+25.4 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 75
Game Power+8.2 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 75

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 70 Latest recorded 65
74 59 44 2026-06-04 · Median 70 2026-06-05 · Median 70 2026-06-06 · Median 70 2026-06-07 · Median 70 2026-06-08 · Median 70 2026-06-09 · Median 70 2026-06-10 · Median 70 2026-06-11 · Median 69.8 2026-07-23 · Median 48 2026-07-24 · Median 49 2026-07-25 · Median 49 2026-07-26 · Median 49 2026-07-27 · Median 49 2026-07-28 · Median 49 2026-07-29 · Median 49 2026-07-30 · Median 49 2026-07-31 · Median 49 2026-08-01 · Median 49 2026-08-03 · Median 49 2026-08-05 · Median 49 2026-08-07 · Median 49 2026-08-08 · Median 49 2026-08-09 · Median 49 2026-08-10 · Median 49 2026-08-11 · Median 49 2026-08-13 · Median 49 2026-08-14 · Median 49 2026-08-16 · Median 49 2026-08-17 · Median 49 2026-08-18 · Median 49 2026-08-19 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 65 2026-08-22 · Median 65 2026-08-23 · Median 65.5 2026-08-25 · Median 65.5 2026-08-27 · Median 66 2026-08-28 · Median 66 2026-09-01 · Median 66 2026-09-02 · Median 66 2026-09-03 · Median 66 2026-09-05 · Median 65 2026-09-06 · Median 65 2026-09-09 · Median 65 2026-09-14 · Median 65.4 2026-09-15 · Median 66 2026-09-16 · Median 66 2026-09-17 · Median 65 2026-09-18 · Median 65 2026-09-19 · Median 65 2026-09-21 · Median 65 2026-09-22 · Median 65 2026-09-24 · Median 65 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 65

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2465
2026-09-2265
2026-09-2165
2026-09-1965
2026-09-1865
2026-09-1765
2026-09-1666
2026-09-1566
2026-09-1465.4
2026-09-0965
2026-09-0665
2026-09-0565
2026-09-0366
2026-09-0266
2026-09-0166
2026-08-2866
2026-08-2766
2026-08-2565.5
2026-08-2365.5
2026-08-2265
2026-08-2065
2026-08-1949
2026-08-1849
2026-08-1749
2026-08-1649
2026-08-1449
2026-08-1349
2026-08-1149
2026-08-1049
2026-08-0949
2026-08-0849
2026-08-0749
2026-08-0549
2026-08-0349
2026-08-0149
2026-07-3149
2026-07-3049
2026-07-2949
2026-07-2849
2026-07-2749
2026-07-2649
2026-07-2549
2026-07-2449
2026-07-2348
2026-06-1169.8
2026-06-1070
2026-06-0970
2026-06-0870
2026-06-0770
2026-06-0670
2026-06-0570
2026-06-0470

Metrics to follow

K% 21.7%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 12.3%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.390

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G81
PA332
AVG.299
OBP.390
SLG.471
OPS.861
HR9
SB13
BB%12.3%
K%21.7%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
606571
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 60

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 3
MLB / Model Watch69 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence90
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production44.2
Historical 80% error band29–60
MLB arrival in 3 years31%
Productive MLB role in 3 years8%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit50Avg
Power icon
Power60Above Avg
Speed icon
Speed50Avg
Defense icon
Defense40Developmental
Arm icon
Arm50Avg
Overall icon
Overall50Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels93628381018574.286.389.429.817
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Charleston RiverDogsSingle-A763122603777114852406813.296.389.462.851
2026FCL RaysFCL52018460115140.333.400.6111.011
20262 teams · TotalAll levels813322784183115957417213.299.390.471.861

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

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Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.