Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Carlos Lagrange

NYY · AAA · P

New York Yankees · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Pitch quality translating

Current bat-missing results are broadly aligned with the verified pitch-quality expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#157
Prospect Score72
Median67
Performance60
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Best pitch grade 70; dominance evidence sits near the 78th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • K/9 is 11.9

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff-4.9 percentile gap
Expected 83 Observed 78
Command+1.9 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 44

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 70 Latest recorded 67
76 68.5 61 2026-06-04 · Median 70 2026-06-05 · Median 70 2026-06-06 · Median 70 2026-06-07 · Median 70 2026-06-08 · Median 70 2026-06-09 · Median 70 2026-06-10 · Median 70 2026-06-11 · Median 70 2026-06-12 · Median 70 2026-06-13 · Median 70 2026-06-14 · Median 70 2026-06-15 · Median 72 2026-06-16 · Median 72 2026-06-17 · Median 72 2026-06-18 · Median 72 2026-06-19 · Median 70 2026-06-20 · Median 70 2026-06-21 · Median 70 2026-06-22 · Median 70 2026-06-23 · Median 70 2026-06-24 · Median 70 2026-06-25 · Median 70 2026-06-26 · Median 71 2026-06-28 · Median 71 2026-06-29 · Median 70 2026-06-30 · Median 70 2026-07-01 · Median 70 2026-07-03 · Median 70 2026-07-05 · Median 70 2026-07-07 · Median 70 2026-07-09 · Median 70 2026-07-11 · Median 70 2026-07-12 · Median 70 2026-07-14 · Median 70 2026-07-16 · Median 70 2026-07-21 · Median 70 2026-07-22 · Median 70 2026-07-23 · Median 70 2026-08-27 · Median 65 2026-08-28 · Median 65 2026-09-01 · Median 65 2026-09-02 · Median 65 2026-09-03 · Median 65 2026-09-05 · Median 65 2026-09-06 · Median 65 2026-09-09 · Median 66 2026-09-14 · Median 65.7 2026-09-15 · Median 66 2026-09-16 · Median 66 2026-09-17 · Median 67 2026-09-18 · Median 67 2026-09-19 · Median 67 2026-09-21 · Median 67 2026-09-22 · Median 67 2026-09-24 · Median 67 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 67

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2467
2026-09-2267
2026-09-2167
2026-09-1967
2026-09-1867
2026-09-1767
2026-09-1666
2026-09-1566
2026-09-1465.7
2026-09-0966
2026-09-0665
2026-09-0565
2026-09-0365
2026-09-0265
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2026-08-2865
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2026-07-2370
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2026-07-2170
2026-07-1670
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2026-07-1270
2026-07-1170
2026-07-0970
2026-07-0770
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2026-07-0370
2026-07-0170
2026-06-3070
2026-06-2970
2026-06-2871
2026-06-2671
2026-06-2570
2026-06-2470
2026-06-2370
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2026-06-2170
2026-06-2070
2026-06-1970
2026-06-1872
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2026-06-1572
2026-06-1470
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2026-06-1070
2026-06-0970
2026-06-0870
2026-06-0770
2026-06-0670
2026-06-0570
2026-06-0470

Metrics to follow

K/9 11.9

Primary bat-missing indicator

Definition

Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched

K-BB% 18.2%

Separates dominance from walk cost

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

BB/9 4.6

Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G19
IP64.1
ERA4.48
WHIP1.35
K/911.9
BB/94.6
K-BB%18.2%

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · AAA · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
636772
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 60

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
MLB / Model Watch69 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence95
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production45.1
Historical 80% error band20–70
MLB arrival in 3 years42%
Productive MLB role in 3 years7%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball70Plus-Plus
Slider icon
Slider60Above Avg
Cutter icon
Cutter55Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup55Avg
Command icon
Control45Fringe
Overall icon
Overall55Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCutterChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Power Fastball

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels000.001001.01000021.0018.00
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRidersAAA144.481911164.15437321033851.3511.89
2025Somerset PatriotsAA763.221615078.15131284501041.2911.95
2025Hudson Valley RenegadesHigh-A424.1088041.2312019412641.0313.82
20252 teams · TotalAll levels1183.5324230120.08251478621681.2012.60
2024Tampa TarponsSingle-A016.9155014.1101311013191.6011.93
2024FCL YankeesFCL006.754306.24551781.6510.80
20242 teams · TotalAll levels016.8698021.0141816120271.6211.57
2023FCL YankeesFCL004.971211041.2342523424631.3913.61
2022DSL NYY YankeesDSL013.001110033.0101311119430.8811.73

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More New York Yankees profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.