Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Ryan Minckler

WSH · Single-A · P

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 24 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Performance Signal Only
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Scouting comparison unavailable

Current performance can be evaluated, but a tool-to-results comparison requires verified scouting grades

Insufficient Evidence · 0%
PB Rank#4,685
Prospect Score30
Median32
Performance26
Trend0.0%

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

No tool-to-results comparison is available in this saved assessment. The recorded model range is shown below.

Model Range0.0%
233241
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 26

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 33 Latest recorded 32
38 33 28 2026-06-04 · Median 33 2026-06-05 · Median 33 2026-06-06 · Median 33 2026-06-07 · Median 33 2026-06-08 · Median 33 2026-06-09 · Median 33 2026-06-10 · Median 33 2026-06-11 · Median 34 2026-06-12 · Median 34 2026-06-13 · Median 34 2026-06-14 · Median 34 2026-06-15 · Median 34 2026-06-16 · Median 34 2026-06-17 · Median 34 2026-06-18 · Median 34 2026-06-19 · Median 34 2026-06-20 · Median 34 2026-06-21 · Median 34 2026-06-22 · Median 34 2026-06-23 · Median 34 2026-06-24 · Median 34 2026-06-25 · Median 34 2026-08-20 · Median 33 2026-08-22 · Median 33 2026-08-23 · Median 32.4 2026-08-25 · Median 32.4 2026-08-27 · Median 32 2026-08-28 · Median 32 2026-09-01 · Median 32 2026-09-02 · Median 32 2026-09-03 · Median 32 2026-09-05 · Median 32 2026-09-06 · Median 32 2026-09-09 · Median 32 2026-09-14 · Median 32.1 2026-09-15 · Median 32 2026-09-16 · Median 32 2026-09-17 · Median 32 2026-09-18 · Median 32 2026-09-19 · Median 32 2026-09-21 · Median 32 2026-09-22 · Median 32 2026-09-24 · Median 32 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2432
2026-09-2232
2026-09-2132
2026-09-1932
2026-09-1832
2026-09-1732
2026-09-1632
2026-09-1532
2026-09-1432.1
2026-09-0932
2026-09-0632
2026-09-0532
2026-09-0332
2026-09-0232
2026-09-0132
2026-08-2832
2026-08-2732
2026-08-2532.4
2026-08-2332.4
2026-08-2233
2026-08-2033
2026-06-2534
2026-06-2434
2026-06-2334
2026-06-2234
2026-06-2134
2026-06-2034
2026-06-1934
2026-06-1834
2026-06-1734
2026-06-1634
2026-06-1534
2026-06-1434
2026-06-1334
2026-06-1234
2026-06-1134
2026-06-1033
2026-06-0933
2026-06-0833
2026-06-0733
2026-06-0633
2026-06-0533
2026-06-0433

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G24
IP37.1
ERA6.99
WHIP1.77
K/99.6
BB/99.6
K-BB%0.0%

Fredericksburg Nationals · Single-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
233241
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 26

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 36
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence53
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production34.2
Historical 80% error band9–59
MLB arrival in 3 years1%
Productive MLB role in 3 years0%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Tool grades unavailable from verified public scouting reports.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Fredericksburg NationalsSingle-A226.99240137.1263029340401.779.64
2025Fredericksburg NationalsSingle-A464.74390049.1323126252561.7010.22

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

More Washington Nationals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.