Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Jadher Areinamo

TB · AAA · 2B

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 22.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Tools Ahead of Results
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact translation concern

The verified hit tool is not matching the current contact results. Strikeout rate is the first metric to monitor

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#284
Prospect Score67
Median63
Performance52
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 55; contact evidence sits near the 41th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 17.3%

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact-17.5 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 41
Game Power+17.2 percentile gap
Expected 33 Observed 51

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 55 Latest recorded 63
68 58 48 2026-06-04 · Median 55 2026-06-05 · Median 54 2026-06-06 · Median 54 2026-06-07 · Median 54 2026-06-08 · Median 55 2026-06-09 · Median 55 2026-06-10 · Median 56 2026-06-11 · Median 56 2026-06-12 · Median 56 2026-06-13 · Median 56 2026-06-14 · Median 56 2026-06-15 · Median 56 2026-06-16 · Median 56 2026-06-17 · Median 55 2026-06-18 · Median 55 2026-06-19 · Median 56 2026-06-20 · Median 58 2026-06-21 · Median 57 2026-06-22 · Median 57 2026-06-23 · Median 57 2026-06-24 · Median 57 2026-06-25 · Median 56 2026-06-26 · Median 56 2026-06-28 · Median 57 2026-06-29 · Median 57 2026-06-30 · Median 57 2026-07-01 · Median 55 2026-07-03 · Median 57 2026-07-05 · Median 57 2026-07-07 · Median 57 2026-07-09 · Median 57 2026-07-11 · Median 57 2026-07-12 · Median 57 2026-07-14 · Median 57 2026-07-16 · Median 57 2026-07-21 · Median 56 2026-07-22 · Median 55 2026-07-23 · Median 55 2026-07-24 · Median 55 2026-07-25 · Median 55 2026-07-26 · Median 56 2026-07-27 · Median 56 2026-07-28 · Median 56 2026-07-29 · Median 56 2026-07-30 · Median 56 2026-07-31 · Median 56 2026-08-01 · Median 56 2026-08-03 · Median 56 2026-08-05 · Median 56 2026-08-07 · Median 56 2026-08-08 · Median 56 2026-08-09 · Median 56 2026-08-10 · Median 56 2026-08-11 · Median 56 2026-08-13 · Median 56 2026-08-14 · Median 56 2026-08-16 · Median 56 2026-08-17 · Median 56 2026-08-18 · Median 56 2026-08-19 · Median 56 2026-08-20 · Median 55.7 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 64 2026-09-14 · Median 63.7 2026-09-15 · Median 64 2026-09-16 · Median 64 2026-09-17 · Median 63 2026-09-18 · Median 63 2026-09-19 · Median 63 2026-09-21 · Median 63 2026-09-22 · Median 63 2026-09-24 · Median 63 2026-09-25 · Median 63 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 63

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2563
2026-09-2463
2026-09-2263
2026-09-2163
2026-09-1963
2026-09-1863
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2026-09-1664
2026-09-1564
2026-09-1463.7
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2026-08-2055.7
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2026-06-0754
2026-06-0654
2026-06-0554
2026-06-0455

Metrics to follow

K% 17.3%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 5.6%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.282

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G82
PA342
AVG.240
OBP.282
SLG.407
OPS.689
HR13
SB9
BB%5.6%
K%17.3%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
586368
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 52

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 5
MLB / Model Watch67 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence94
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production41.5
Historical 80% error band24–59
MLB arrival in 3 years69%
Productive MLB role in 3 years10%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit55Avg
Power icon
Power40Developmental
Speed icon
Speed45Fringe
Defense icon
Defense55Avg
Arm icon
Arm50Avg
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysAll teamsAll levels144000000000.000.000.000.000
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels134947372003121.149.163.191.355
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Durham BullsAAA113937241002110.108.128.135.263
2026Montgomery BiscuitsAA713032803572130134418589.257.302.443.745
20262 teams · TotalAll levels823423173776140134619599.240.282.407.689
2025Montgomery BiscuitsAA3715914118368041912196.255.316.397.714
2025Wisconsin Timber RattlersHigh-A94415367511092421151344815.297.355.463.818
20252 teams · TotalAll levels131574508691453221570466721.285.344.445.789
2024Wisconsin Timber RattlersHigh-A110467425631283001068335232.301.349.442.791
2023Carolina MudcatsSingle-A10342039652121261452175216.306.333.407.740
2022Wisconsin Timber RattlersHigh-A72626021001080.077.077.115.192
2022Carolina MudcatsSingle-A28110971629200119142.299.373.320.692
2022ACL Brewers GoldACL34149127314110312119194.323.416.472.889
20223 teams · TotalAll levels69285250477213313328416.288.368.376.744
2021DSL Brewers 2DSL4417515232427201017225.276.366.349.714

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

Checklist appearances

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome · First Bowman
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Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.