Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Adrian Santana

MIA · AA · SS

Miami Marlins · Age at assessment: 21.2 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact results ahead of the tool grade

Current contact and on-base results are outperforming the verified hit-tool expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#337
Prospect Score66
Median61
Performance54
Trend+0.1%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 45; contact evidence sits near the 81th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 10.9%

What could change the read

  • A 0.356 OBP is keeping the offensive foundation intact

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+39.1 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 81
Game Power-17.5 percentile gap
Expected 33 Observed 16

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 61
66 44.5 23 2026-06-04 · Median 53 2026-06-05 · Median 54 2026-06-06 · Median 55 2026-06-07 · Median 55 2026-06-08 · Median 55 2026-06-09 · Median 55 2026-06-10 · Median 55 2026-06-11 · Median 54.7 2026-07-23 · Median 40 2026-07-24 · Median 39 2026-07-25 · Median 27 2026-07-26 · Median 27 2026-07-27 · Median 27 2026-07-28 · Median 27 2026-07-29 · Median 27 2026-07-30 · Median 27 2026-07-31 · Median 27 2026-08-01 · Median 27 2026-08-03 · Median 27 2026-08-05 · Median 27 2026-08-07 · Median 27 2026-08-08 · Median 27 2026-08-09 · Median 27 2026-08-10 · Median 31 2026-08-11 · Median 31 2026-08-13 · Median 31 2026-08-14 · Median 31 2026-08-16 · Median 31 2026-08-17 · Median 31 2026-08-18 · Median 31 2026-08-19 · Median 31 2026-08-20 · Median 60 2026-08-22 · Median 60 2026-08-23 · Median 59.7 2026-08-25 · Median 59.7 2026-08-27 · Median 58 2026-08-28 · Median 58 2026-09-01 · Median 58 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 61.2 2026-09-15 · Median 61 2026-09-16 · Median 61 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 61 2026-09-25 · Median 61 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 61

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2561
2026-09-2461
2026-09-2261
2026-09-2161
2026-09-1961
2026-09-1861
2026-09-1761
2026-09-1661
2026-09-1561
2026-09-1461.2
2026-09-0962
2026-09-0658
2026-09-0558
2026-09-0358
2026-09-0258
2026-09-0158
2026-08-2858
2026-08-2758
2026-08-2559.7
2026-08-2359.7
2026-08-2260
2026-08-2060
2026-08-1931
2026-08-1831
2026-08-1731
2026-08-1631
2026-08-1431
2026-08-1331
2026-08-1131
2026-08-1031
2026-08-0927
2026-08-0827
2026-08-0727
2026-08-0527
2026-08-0327
2026-08-0127
2026-07-3127
2026-07-3027
2026-07-2927
2026-07-2827
2026-07-2727
2026-07-2627
2026-07-2527
2026-07-2439
2026-07-2340
2026-06-1154.7
2026-06-1055
2026-06-0955
2026-06-0855
2026-06-0755
2026-06-0655
2026-06-0554
2026-06-0453

Metrics to follow

K% 10.9%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 8.3%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.356

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G85
PA396
AVG.288
OBP.356
SLG.364
OPS.721
HR3
SB30
BB%8.3%
K%10.9%

3 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range+0.1%
576166
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 54

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 5
MLB / Model Watch66 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence93
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production40.4
Historical 80% error band23–58
MLB arrival in 3 years59%
Productive MLB role in 3 years6%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit45Fringe
Power icon
Power40Developmental
Speed icon
Speed65Plus
Defense icon
Defense60Above Avg
Arm icon
Arm60Above Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Speed/Defense

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels1566608144003594.233.303.300.603
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Pensacola Blue WahoosAA3114212623318001214207.246.326.310.636
2026Bowling Green Hot RodsHigh-A51241215406871323192323.316.381.400.781
2026FCL RaysFCL31313231001000.231.231.308.538
20263 teams · TotalAll levels8539635465102161336334330.288.356.364.721
2025Bowling Green Hot RodsHigh-A894093656496132243354947.263.324.326.650
2024Charleston RiverDogsSingle-A10345541755100213035347251.240.300.305.604
2023FCL RaysFCL104739682003793.205.340.256.597

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

Checklist appearances

  • 2023 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

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Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.